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Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
limitless
polymarket
predict

What is the result of Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming?

Volume:
$1,710,269

Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)

 - Polymarket

Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 17, 2026

Closed: Sep 17, 1:23 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,118
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs Natus Vincere (+3.5)

View
100%
67%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$719
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs Natus Vincere (+3.5)

View
36%
Yes 36¢No 64¢
—
$11,559
$156
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs Natus Vincere (+3.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.8¢
N/A
$68
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
3¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
53%
Yes 53¢No 47¢
—
$11
$9
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
0%
49%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$199
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
53%
Yes 53¢No 47¢
—
$23,632
$2
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
0%
49%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$100
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

O/U 2.5 Games

View
29%
Yes 29¢No 71¢
—
$39
$1,031
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

View
0%
47%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,039
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)

View
29%
Yes 29¢No 71¢
—
$23,660
$473
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)

View
0%
29%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$22,749
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Match Winner

View
1%
53%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$407
$32,437
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Match Winner

View
0%
55%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$852,466
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Map 1 Winner

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$198
$27,311
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 1 Winner

View
0%
51%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$293,620
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Map 2 Winner

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$178
$17,282
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 2 Winner

View
0%
56%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$451,090
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
limitless

Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming: Map 2 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,000
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5)

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$112
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5)

View
0%
36%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$346
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5)

View
0%
31%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5)

View
N/A
N/A
—
$23,632
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 33

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of a Counter-Strike best-of-three match between Natus Vincere and Aurora Gaming in the StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs. Currently, the consensus probability that Aurora Gaming will achieve a map handicap of -1.5 against Natus Vincere (+1.5) is 100.0%. This prediction aggregates data from Limitless, Polymarket, and Predict, and will resolve based on official results reported by hltv.org. Keep an eye on the match schedule, as the resolution date is estimated for September 18, 2026, representing the conclusion of the StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs event window.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms utilize the same resolution source (hltv.org) and share consistent logic for match completion, postponements, forfeits, and cancellations.Primary resolution logic: https://hltv.org

Core resolution logic:

  • Match outcome (winner) is determined by the result reported on hltv.org.
  • Map winners are determined by the result of each individual map reported on hltv.org.
  • Total games played is determined by the number of maps completed, including those won by forfeit/disqualification.
  • Postponements require rescheduling within 14 days; otherwise, markets resolve 50-50.
  • Cancellations or incomplete matches (with no map winner determined) resolve 50-50.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Name Discrepancies: Minor discrepancies in team names will be resolved based on the underlying real-world match, recognizing abbreviations and sponsor tags.
  • Delayed Publication: If hltv.org does not publish results within 2 hours of event conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting (including video evidence) will be used.
  • Forfeit/Disqualification in Total Games: Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, or walkover *are* counted towards the total games played, provided the match is completed.
Timing: Resolution will occur once official results are published on hltv.org, or within 2 hours of event conclusion if credible reporting is required.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper Bracket Quarterfinal 2 match between Natus Vincere and Aurora Gaming in the StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 17, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against Aurora Gaming. This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win the match against Natus Vincere. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 1, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 17, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Predict

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper Bracket Quarterfinal 2 match between Natus Vincere and Aurora Gaming in the StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 17, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against Aurora Gaming. This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win the match against Natus Vincere. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 1, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 17, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Limitless

This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Natus Vincere and Aurora Gaming in the StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026, initially scheduled for September 17, 2026 UTC. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win Map 2 against Aurora Gaming. This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win Map 2 against Natus Vincere. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Predict, this dashboard tracks the probabilities of different outcomes in the Counter-Strike StarLadder Playoffs match between Natus Vincere and Aurora Gaming. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $1,710,269, with $1,664,755 traded in the last 24 hours. The consensus view, as reflected by the combined probabilities, suggests a strong expectation for one team to win, though prices can shift as new information becomes available. This allows traders to express their beliefs about the match’s outcome and profit from correctly predicting the result in the Counter-Strike StarLadder Playoffs market.

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a more accurate forecast than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to profit from margins, while prediction markets incentivize participants to express their true beliefs. This can lead to differences, as prediction markets can quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities based on collective insight. However, both offer ways to assess the likelihood of various outcomes in the Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming match.

Several factors could influence the probabilities in this market before the match concludes. Unexpected news regarding player health, roster changes, or team performance could significantly shift expectations. In-game events during the match itself, such as dominant performances by individual players or strategic shifts, will also drive price movements. Major upsets in other concurrent Counter-Strike events could also indirectly affect sentiment. Traders should closely watch news and social media for any developments related to Natus Vincere and Aurora Gaming.