TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Description
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket final match between Natus Vincere and Aurora Gaming in the BLAST Open Rotterdam Group A, initially scheduled for March 23 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against Aurora Gaming. This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win the match against Natus Vincere. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket diverge on the scope of the underlying event. Kalshi resolves based on the tournament winner (BLAST Open Rotterdam 2026 champion), while Polymarket resolves based on the specific BO3 match outcome between the two teams scheduled for March 23.Hero Tip:
If you trade on Kalshi, your outcome depends on who wins the entire BLAST Open Rotterdam tournament, not just the Aurora Gaming vs Natus Vincere match. On Polymarket, your outcome depends only on the head-to-head match result. These can diverge if, for example, Natus Vincere wins the match but loses the tournament, or if the match is canceled but one team later wins the tournament.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Outlier: Resolves YES if either team wins the entire BLAST Open Rotterdam 2026 tournament, regardless of the specific Aurora Gaming vs Natus Vincere match outcome. Key quote: 'If Natus Vincere wins the BLAST Open Rotterdam 2026... then the market resolves to Yes. If Aurora Gaming wins the BLAST Open Rotterdam 2026... then the market resolves to Yes.'Polymarket:
Aligned with the match-specific resolution framework: Resolves based solely on the outcome of the BO3 match between Natus Vincere and Aurora Gaming on March 23, with detailed provisions for cancellation, forfeiture, and incomplete play. Key quote: 'This market will resolve to Natus Vincere if Natus Vincere win the match against Aurora Gaming. This market will resolve to Aurora Gaming if Aurora Gaming win the match against Natus Vincere.'
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