TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group A
kalshi
polymarket

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group A

Volume:
$1,010,933

Match Winner

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 24, 2026

Closed: Mar 23, 1:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Match Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$837,545
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Natus Vincere

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$87,238
N/A
N/A
$73,937
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$27,715
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Aurora Gaming

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$58,435
N/A
N/A
$50,775
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 1 Winner

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Winner

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Rounds

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Rounds

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Rounds

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 14

Description

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket final match between Natus Vincere and Aurora Gaming in the BLAST Open Rotterdam Group A, initially scheduled for March 23 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against Aurora Gaming. This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win the match against Natus Vincere. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi and Polymarket diverge on the scope of the underlying event. Kalshi resolves based on the tournament winner (BLAST Open Rotterdam 2026 champion), while Polymarket resolves based on the specific BO3 match outcome between the two teams scheduled for March 23.Hero tip: If you trade on Kalshi, your outcome depends on who wins the entire BLAST Open Rotterdam tournament, not just the Aurora Gaming vs Natus Vincere match. On Polymarket, your outcome depends only on the head-to-head match result. These can diverge if, for example, Natus Vincere wins the match but loses the tournament, or if the match is canceled but one team later wins the tournament.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Outlier: Resolves YES if either team wins the entire BLAST Open Rotterdam 2026 tournament, regardless of the specific Aurora Gaming vs Natus Vincere match outcome. Key quote: 'If Natus Vincere wins the BLAST Open Rotterdam 2026... then the market resolves to Yes. If Aurora Gaming wins the BLAST Open Rotterdam 2026... then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Aligned with the match-specific resolution framework: Resolves based solely on the outcome of the BO3 match between Natus Vincere and Aurora Gaming on March 23, with detailed provisions for cancellation, forfeiture, and incomplete play. Key quote: 'This market will resolve to Natus Vincere if Natus Vincere win the match against Aurora Gaming. This market will resolve to Aurora Gaming if Aurora Gaming win the match against Natus Vincere.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.