TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$230,557,910
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,202,344,730
501,342
Markets across
13,602
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,822
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group B
Description
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between MOUZ and TheMongolz in the BLAST Open Rotterdam Group B, scheduled for March 19 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win the match against TheMongolz. This market will resolve to "TheMongolz" if TheMongolz win the match against MOUZ. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket use fundamentally different resolution scopes and event definitions. Kalshi resolves on a single binary condition (over/under 2.5 maps played), while Polymarket offers multiple granular markets (match winner, individual map winners, map totals, handicaps, and kill/round odd-even) that each have distinct resolution criteria and edge-case handling.Hero Tip:
If you trade on Kalshi, you are betting solely on whether 3+ maps are played in the series. If you trade on Polymarket, you have 11 separate markets with different resolution triggers—a match cancellation might resolve some to 50-50 while others remain unresolved. Ensure you understand which specific Polymarket question you are trading before placing a bet, as each has its own forfeit, delay, and completion rules.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi offers a single binary market on map count only. It resolves YES if over 2.5 maps (i.e., 3 or more maps) are played in the MOUZ vs TheMongolz match scheduled for March 19, 2026. The market does not address match winner, individual map outcomes, or any other derivative metric. Resolution source is not explicitly stated in the Kalshi rule provided.
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers 11 separate markets covering match winner, individual map winners (Maps 1, 2, 3), map total (O/U 2.5), map handicaps (two variants), and odd/even kill and round totals for each map. Each market has its own resolution criteria, edge-case handling, and tie-breaking rules. All markets cite HLTV.org as the primary source, with a 2-hour fallback window for consensus reporting. Cancellations, delays beyond 7 days, forfeits, and incomplete matches trigger 50-50 resolution for most markets, but some (e.g., Map 1 Winner) resolve based on completed maps even if the series is incomplete.
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