TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$244,265,276
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,349,697,137
578,254
Markets across
14,382
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,099
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Counter-Strike Best-of-3 quarterfinal match between MOUZ and FUT Esports in the ESL Pro League Playoffs, scheduled for March 13, 2026. Markets span match winner, map winners, map totals, handicaps, and round/kill odd-even outcomes across individual maps.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi defines resolution at the tournament level (ESL Pro League 2026 winner), while Polymarket defines resolution at the match level (Quarterfinal 4 result on March 13). Additionally, Polymarket contains an internal timing inconsistency (11:30 AM ET vs 12:00 PM ET).Hero Tip:
Kalshi's market is a tournament outcome proxy, not a match outcome market. Polymarket markets are match-specific and directly resolvable. If you are trading on the MOUZ vs FUT Esports match result, use Polymarket. Kalshi should only be used if you have a view on the entire ESL Pro League 2026 tournament outcome. Confirm the official scheduled start time (11:30 AM or 12:00 PM ET) via HLTV before the event.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Tournament-level resolution: Market resolves to Yes if either FUT Esports or MOUZ wins the ESL Pro League 2026 (the entire tournament), not the specific match. The match on Mar 13 is merely a reference point. Key Quote: 'If FUT Esports wins the ESL Pro League 2026... then the market resolves to Yes. If MOUZ wins the ESL Pro League 2026... then the market resolves to Yes.'Polymarket:
Match-level resolution: Market resolves based on the outcome of the specific Quarterfinal 4 match between MOUZ and FUT Esports on March 13 at 11:30 AM ET (or 12:00 PM ET for one handicap market). Resolves to the team that wins the match, or 50-50 if canceled, tied, delayed >7 days, or forfeited before start. Key Quote: 'This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win the match against FUT Esports. This market will resolve to "FUT Esports" if FUT Esports win the match against MOUZ.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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