TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$217,487,446
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,300,303,450
498,643
Markets across
13,761
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,763
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 5 Playoffs
Volume:
$25,502
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Counter-Strike Best-of-3 match between MOUZ NXT and UNiTY esports in the European Pro League Series 5 Playoffs, scheduled for March 6, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. Markets span match outcome, individual map winners, map counts, handicaps, and granular kill/round parity across all three maps.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi defines resolution at the tournament level (EPL S5 winner), while Polymarket defines all markets at the match level (Round of 16 BO3 on March 6). This is a scope mismatch that makes cross-platform settlement impossible and creates two entirely separate resolution universes.Hero Tip:
Do not assume Kalshi and Polymarket markets are fungible. Kalshi resolves YES if either team wins the entire EPL S5 tournament; Polymarket markets resolve based solely on the March 6 BO3 match result. A team can win the match but lose the tournament (or vice versa). Treat these as independent contracts.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Tournament-level resolution. Market resolves YES if UNiTY esports OR MOUZ NXT wins the European Pro League Series 5 2026 tournament. Quote: 'If UNiTY esports wins the European Pro League Series 5 2026: UNiTY esports vs. MOUZ NXT CS2 match originally scheduled for Mar 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.' This is ambiguous and conflates match participation with tournament victory.
- Polymarket: Match-level resolution. All 10 markets (Match Winner, Map 1/2/3 Winners, Games Total, Handicap, Odd/Even Kills/Rounds per map) resolve exclusively on the BO3 match outcome on March 6. Quote: 'This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round of 16 match between MOUZ NXT and UNiTY esports in the European Pro League Series 5 Playoffs, initially scheduled for March 6 at 4:00AM ET.' Clear, match-specific scope.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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