TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs Isurus (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #1 Group A
kalshi
polymarket

Who will win MIBR Academy vs Isurus?

Volume:
$227,428

MIBR Academy

 - Kalshi

MIBR Academy - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 26, 2026

Closed: Jun 26, 3:39 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

MIBR Academy

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$54,398
N/A
N/A
$36,555
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Match Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$48,823
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$40,853
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$39,075
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map Handicap: MIBR.A (-1.5) vs Isurus (+1.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR Academy (-6.5) vs Isurus (+6.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
99¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
99¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Isurus

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$42,704
N/A
N/A
$34,332
Settled
No
polymarket

Map Handicap: ISG (-1.5) vs MIBR Academy (+1.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,091
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$383
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Isurus (-3.5) vs MIBR Academy (+3.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR Academy (-9.5) vs Isurus (+9.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR Academy (-12.5) vs Isurus (+12.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
50%
Yes 50¢No 51¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR Academy (-6.5) vs Isurus (+6.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR Academy (-3.5) vs Isurus (+3.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR Academy (-3.5) vs Isurus (+3.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 22

Description

This event group covers a Best-of-3 Counter-Strike match between MIBR Academy and Isurus in the Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #1 Group A, scheduled for June 26, 2026 at 2:00 PM EDT. Markets span match winner, individual map winners, round totals per map, games total, and map handicap outcomes.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's match winner market contains a logical contradiction: both possible outcomes (MIBR Academy wins OR Isurus wins) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable and creating data integrity failure.Hero tip: Do not trade Kalshi's match winner market (items 1-2) until clarified. All other markets (Polymarket map winners, round totals, games total, map handicap, and Kalshi's implicit match winner via other markets) use coherent binary or over/under logic. Polymarket's match winner market is the reliable reference.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Match winner market (items 1-2) states: 'If MIBR Academy wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Isurus wins...resolves to Yes'. This is a logical contradiction—both outcomes cannot both resolve to Yes in a binary market. No explicit No condition is defined.
  • Polymarket: Match winner market (item 16) states: 'Resolves to MIBR Academy if MIBR Academy win' and 'Resolves to Isurus if Isurus win'. Standard binary logic with clear mutually exclusive outcomes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Decider match between MIBR Academy and Isurus in the Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #1 Group A, initially scheduled for June 26 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "MIBR Academy" if MIBR Academy win the match against Isurus. This market will resolve to "Isurus" if Isurus win the match against MIBR Academy. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by the outcome of the Isurus vs. MIBR Academy CS2 match in the Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #1 2026, scheduled for June 26, 2026 at 2:00 PM EDT. The market resolves to Yes if either team wins the match. If the match does not occur as scheduled, is postponed, or results in a draw or no-contest, resolution will be determined by official tournament records and announcements from the event organizers.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price events through different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds based on internal models and risk management, then adjust for betting volume. Prediction markets like those tracked here rely on continuous trader participation, where prices emerge from collective decision-making. This often produces sharper, more efficient odds because traders have direct financial incentive to correct mispricings. However, sportsbooks may offer tighter spreads and faster payouts, while prediction markets can experience wider volatility and lower liquidity on niche outcomes.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform operates under distinct regulatory frameworks, user bases, and market structures. Kalshi focuses on binary outcomes with strict settlement rules, while Polymarket supports more granular contracts like round totals. Liquidity distribution varies—one platform may attract more Counter-Strike specialists, shifting odds accordingly. Timing differences in order flow and fee structures also create temporary price gaps. Traders exploit these spreads through arbitrage, though transaction costs and withdrawal delays can limit profitability on smaller divergences.

Team roster changes, recent tournament results, and player performance trends are primary catalysts. Injury announcements or stand-in confirmations can shift odds significantly, as can pre-match interviews revealing tactical adjustments. Live map bans during the broadcast often trigger sharp repricing, especially on map-specific contracts. Historical head-to-head records and recent patch changes to the game also influence trader sentiment. Monitor esports news outlets and team social media for updates that could impact your position before the match begins.