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406,422

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Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs Guara Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group Stage
kalshi
polymarket

Who will win METANOIA WOLVES vs Guara Esports?

Volume:
$186,293

Guara Esports

 - Kalshi

Guara Esports - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 28, 2026

Closed: Jun 28, 5:39 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Guara Esports

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$47,785
N/A
N/A
$29,367
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,980
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,123
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$80
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: METANOIA WOLVES (-6.5) vs Guara Esports (+6.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Match Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$58,728
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

METANOIA WOLVES

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$45,548
N/A
N/A
$19,450
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 2 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$21,930
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,595
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map Handicap: MW (-1.5) vs Guara Esports (+1.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$117
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: METANOIA WOLVES (-3.5) vs Guara Esports (+3.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$95
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Rounds Handicap: METANOIA WOLVES (-3.5) vs Guara Esports (+3.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$79
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$75
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Guara Esports (-9.5) vs METANOIA WOLVES (+9.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$39
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: METANOIA WOLVES (-12.5) vs Guara Esports (+12.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: METANOIA WOLVES (-6.5) vs Guara Esports (+6.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: METANOIA WOLVES (-9.5) vs Guara Esports (+9.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: METANOIA WOLVES (-3.5) vs Guara Esports (+3.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: METANOIA WOLVES (-9.5) vs Guara Esports (+9.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Guara Esports (-3.5) vs METANOIA WOLVES (+3.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 28

Description

This event group covers a best-of-three Counter-Strike match between METANOIA WOLVES and Guara Esports in the CCT South America Series 3 Group Stage, scheduled for June 28, 2026 at 3:00 PM EDT. Markets span match outcome, individual map winners, round totals, and round handicaps across all three potential maps.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Kalshi apply identical resolution logic: official HLTV.org source with 2-hour credible reporting fallback, 7-day cancellation threshold, and 50-50 resolution for incomplete or forfeited matches.Primary resolution logic: HLTV.org (official); credible reporting consensus (video evidence acceptable) if HLTV does not publish within 2 hours of match conclusion.

Core resolution logic:

  • Match outcome (Polymarket Q20, Kalshi Q1-2) resolves to the team winning the best-of-three series; if match is canceled, ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days without a winner, resolves 50-50.
  • If match begins but is not completed and one team wins by opponent forfeiture/disqualification/walkover before clinching map, resolves 50-50; if clinching map itself is forfeited, counts as completed match.
  • Individual map winners (Q10, Q18) resolve based on completed map play; incomplete maps resolve 50-50.
  • Map round totals (Q1, Q16, Q8) resolve on combined rounds played including overtime; maps not played to completion resolve 50-50.
  • Map round handicaps (Q6, Q22, Q14) resolve on round differential; incomplete maps resolve 50-50.
  • Games total (Q12) resolves Over if 3+ maps played, Under if fewer; incomplete series or cancellations resolve 50-50.
  • Forfeit/disqualification/walkover maps count toward series and map totals only if the overall match is completed.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Incomplete Match / Mid-Series Forfeit: If match begins but is not completed, and one team wins by opponent forfeiture/disqualification/walkover before the clinching map is played, all markets resolve 50-50. Exception: if the clinching map itself is forfeited, the match is considered completed and resolves to the winning team.
  • Cancellation or Delay Beyond 7 Days: If match is canceled entirely or delayed beyond 7 days from scheduled date (June 28, 2026) without a winner determined, all markets resolve 50-50.
  • Map Not Played to Completion: For map-specific markets (winners, round totals, round handicaps), if a map is not played at all or is decided by forfeit/disqualification/walkover rather than rounds played to conclusion, that market resolves 50-50.
  • Exact Round Total (21.5 Threshold): If combined rounds on a map equal exactly 21.5, the over/under market resolves 50-50.
  • Team Name Discrepancies: Minor spelling variations, abbreviations, sponsor tags, and formatting differences are treated as the same team; resolution is based on the underlying real-world match, not exact name matching.
Timing: Resolution occurs upon match completion (all maps played to conclusion with actual rounds determined) or upon cancellation/7-day delay threshold. HLTV.org is checked for final results; if not published within 2 hours of match conclusion, credible reporting consensus (including video evidence) is used. Markets resolve immediately upon determination of outcome.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 1 match between METANOIA WOLVES and Guara Esports in the CCT South America Series 3 Group Stage, initially scheduled for June 28 at 3:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "METANOIA WOLVES" if METANOIA WOLVES win the match against Guara Esports. This market will resolve to "Guara Esports" if Guara Esports win the match against METANOIA WOLVES. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by the outcome of the Guara Esports vs. METANOIA WOLVES CS2 match scheduled for June 28, 2026 at 3:00 PM EDT in the CCT South America Series 3 2026 tournament. The market resolves to Yes for whichever team wins the match. Both teams' victory conditions are mutually exclusive, ensuring exactly one resolution outcome.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi operate on peer-to-peer trading rather than fixed lines set by oddsmakers. This means odds reflect live consensus from thousands of traders adjusting positions in real time, often incorporating faster information flow than traditional sportsbooks. Prediction market prices tend to be more efficient at pricing niche or undervalued outcomes, though liquidity and volume vary by contract. For esports events, comparing these odds to major sportsbook lines can reveal arbitrage opportunities or signal where informed traders are positioning.

On Polymarket, traders buy and sell shares directly, creating continuous price discovery. On Kalshi, binary contracts settle on yes/no outcomes with different fee structures and user bases. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Polymarket's focus on granular prop markets like map-round totals attracts specialized esports traders, while Kalshi's simpler match-winner format appeals to broader audiences. Liquidity depth, regional user concentration, and contract design all influence where prices converge or diverge between platforms.

Team roster changes, player injuries, or recent performance trends in the CCT South America Series can shift odds significantly. Pre-match scrims, public statements from coaches, or betting patterns on other platforms often signal sharp money entering the market. Map bans and picks—once announced—typically trigger repricing, especially on map-specific props. Broader esports news, like visa issues or equipment problems, can also impact pricing. Monitor team social media and esports news outlets for updates that might move this market before the match begins.