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406,422

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Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs struggletony (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group Stage
predict
polymarket
kalshi

Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs struggletony (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group Stage

Volume:
$17,400

MASONIC

all

3 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 13, 2026

Closed: Jun 12, 1:19 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

MASONIC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,953
N/A
N/A
$6,799
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Match Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,268
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Match Winner

View
N/A
N/A
—
$0
$60
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 2 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$229
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

struggletony

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,830
N/A
N/A
$3,053
Settled
No
polymarket

Map Handicap: st0ny (-1.5) vs MASONIC (+1.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Rounds

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
20¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
20¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Rounds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
20¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Rounds

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 14

Description

This event group covers a Counter-Strike BO3 match between MASONIC and struggletony in the Dust2.dk Ligaen Group Stage. Multiple platforms have created derivative markets on match winner, individual map winners, round/kill odd-even outcomes, and map handicap, all referencing the same underlying match but with conflicting scheduled dates (May 4 vs June 12, 2026).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Scheduled date conflict (May 4 vs June 12, 2026) and divergent resolution frameworks. Predict/Polymarket use a 7-day delay clause and 50-50 tie-breaker; Kalshi uses a simple binary Yes outcome with no explicit delay or tie-breaker logic.Hero tip: Verify the true match date via official Dust2.dk Ligaen announcements and HLTV.org. If May 4 is correct, the 7-day delay rule (May 4 + 7 days = May 11 deadline) applies to Predict/Polymarket markets. If June 12 is correct, Kalshi's binary framework applies but may still be subject to the same delay logic if not explicitly overridden. Always confirm result on HLTV.org within 2 hours of match conclusion.

Critical divergence points:

  • Predict: Match scheduled May 4, 2026 11:00 AM ET. Resolves to team name if they win; 50-50 if canceled, tied, or delayed beyond 7 days without winner. Forfeits/walkovers before start = 50-50; forfeits after start = winning team. Primary source HLTV.org, fallback to credible consensus within 2 hours. Team name discrepancies resolved by underlying real-world match identity.
  • Polymarket: Multiple derivative markets (Match Winner, Map 1/2/3 Winners, Odd/Even Kills/Rounds, Map Handicap, Games Total O/U 2.5) all scheduled May 4, 2026 11:00 AM ET. Same 7-day delay and 50-50 tie-breaker logic as Predict. Primary source HLTV.org, fallback to credible consensus within 2 hours. Map-specific markets resolve 50-50 if map not played or series clinched before map.
  • Kalshi: Single binary market: 'If struggletony wins... then Yes. If MASONIC wins... then Yes.' Scheduled June 12, 2026 12:00 PM EDT. No explicit resolution logic for cancellation, delay, or tie-breaker. No primary source specified. Appears to resolve Yes regardless of winner, creating logical ambiguity.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 2 match between MASONIC and struggletony in the Dust2.dk Ligaen Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 4 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "MASONIC" if MASONIC win the match against struggletony. This market will resolve to "struggletony" if struggletony win the match against MASONIC. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

If MASONIC wins the Dust2.dk Ligaen 2026: MASONIC vs. struggletony CS2 match originally scheduled for Jun 12, 2026 at 12:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If struggletony wins the Dust2.dk Ligaen 2026: MASONIC vs. struggletony CS2 match originally scheduled for Jun 12, 2026 at 12:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Polymarket often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect decentralized trader consensus rather than bookmaker risk management. Sportsbooks adjust odds to balance liability; prediction markets respond directly to information flow and participant conviction. For this Counter-Strike match, comparing Polymarket prices to major esports sportsbooks reveals how much the crowd values each outcome versus professional oddsmakers. Prediction markets typically react faster to roster changes, recent form, or map-specific advantages that sportsbooks may lag on.

This event is currently tracked on Polymarket, where pricing reflects the aggregated belief of traders about the match outcome. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices move in real time as new information surfaces—team announcements, player substitutions, or betting volume shifts—causing the implied probability to rise or fall. The BO3 format adds complexity because traders must assess best-of-three dynamics, map pool strength, and head-to-head history. Liquidity and trading volume on Polymarket directly influence price stability and tightness of spreads.

Key catalysts include roster changes or player substitutions announced by either MASONIC or struggletony, recent tournament results or form trends, map veto strategy reveals, and injury or availability updates. Head-to-head history and map-specific win rates on Dust2 are important reference points. Scrim results or practice footage leaks can shift trader sentiment. Major esports news outlets covering either team's preparation or meta shifts in the Counter-Strike competitive scene may also trigger repricing. Betting volume spikes often precede the match as casual bettors enter the market.