TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Counter-Strike: maquinas vs Z7 Esports (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group A
Volume:
$88,152
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group tracks the Counter-Strike: Global Offensive match between maquinas and Z7 Esports in a Best-of-One (BO1) format, scheduled for March 31, 2026, as part of the Parken Challenger Championship Group A. The match outcome will determine advancement or seeding within the tournament group stage. Resolution depends on the official match result and tournament completion.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket resolve on fundamentally different events within the same group name. Kalshi resolves on the championship tournament outcome (whether maquinas or Z7 wins the entire Parken Challenger Championship 2026), while Polymarket resolves on the specific BO1 match result and map-level statistics (match winner, Map 1 kills parity, Map 1 rounds parity).Hero Tip:
If you trade on Kalshi, you are betting on the tournament championship winner, not the individual match. If you trade on Polymarket, you are betting on the specific maquinas vs Z7 BO1 match and its map statistics. These are distinct outcomes: maquinas could win the individual match but lose the tournament, or vice versa. Verify which event you intend to trade before placing orders.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Resolves on championship tournament outcome only. Kalshi's two markets both state 'If maquinas wins the Parken Challenger Championship 2026' or 'If Z7 Esports wins the Parken Challenger Championship 2026,' making resolution dependent on the entire tournament result, not the individual BO1 match. The match scheduled for Mar 31, 2026 is mentioned only as a reference point, not as the resolution trigger.
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Resolves on the specific BO1 match result and map-level statistics. Polymarket's three markets directly resolve on (1) the match winner (maquinas vs Z7 Esports), (2) Map 1 total kills parity (odd/even), and (3) Map 1 total rounds parity (odd/even). Resolution is tied to the individual match performance on Mar 31, 2026, not the tournament outcome.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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