TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Counter-Strike best-of-one match between maquinas and Phantom scheduled for March 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET as part of the Parken Challenger Championship Group A. Markets track the match winner, Map 1 kill parity (odd/even), and Map 1 round parity (odd/even).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution scope references the broader championship outcome, while Polymarket explicitly targets the single BO1 match result. Kalshi lacks granular forfeit/walkover logic that Polymarket provides.Hero Tip:
Traders should confirm with Kalshi whether the market resolves on the match result or tournament outcome. For Polymarket, understand that pre-match forfeits (team withdraws before start) trigger 50-50, but mid-match forfeits (opponent disqualified during play) resolve to the winning team. Always verify final result on HLTV.org within 2 hours of match conclusion.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Resolves Yes if Phantom or maquinas wins the Parken Challenger Championship 2026 match scheduled Mar 31. Scope ambiguity: unclear if this is the tournament or the single match. No explicit forfeit or tie logic provided.Polymarket:
Resolves to team name (maquinas or Phantom) if that team wins the BO1 match. Resolves 50-50 on cancellation, tie, >7 day delay without winner, or pre-match forfeit/walkover. Resolves to winning team on mid-match forfeit/disqualification. Primary source: HLTV.org; fallback to credible consensus within 2 hours.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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