TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Rebels Gaming (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group A
Volume:
$45,985
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Counter-Strike best-of-one match between M80 and Rebels Gaming in the Roman Imperium Cup Group A, scheduled for March 12, 2026. Markets track the match winner, and two derivative markets on Map 1 statistics (total rounds and total kills odd/even outcomes).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (M80 wins or Rebels Gaming wins) resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Additionally, Kalshi scope (tournament outcome) diverges from Polymarket scope (individual match outcome).Hero Tip:
Disregard Kalshi market due to logical impossibility. Focus on Polymarket match winner and map statistics markets, which have clear, consistent resolution logic tied to HLTV.org. Verify match is played and not forfeited before settlement.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three distinct markets: (1) Match Winner resolves to M80 or Rebels Gaming based on match result; 50-50 on cancellation, tie, delay >7 days, or forfeit/walkover before start. (2) Map 1 Odd/Even Rounds resolves based on total combined rounds (sum of both teams' round wins). (3) Map 1 Odd/Even Kills resolves based on total combined kills excluding team kills and self-inflicted deaths. All use HLTV.org as primary source with 2-hour credible reporting fallback. Key quote: 'If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.'
- Kalshi: Single market on tournament outcome with contradictory logic: 'If M80 wins the Roman Imperium Cup 2026... then resolves to Yes' AND 'If Rebels Gaming wins the Roman Imperium Cup 2026... then resolves to Yes' — both conditions resolve identically to Yes, creating logical impossibility. No resolution source, timing, or edge case handling specified. Key quote: Both M80 and Rebels Gaming winning conditions resolve to Yes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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