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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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VS.

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61%

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Counter-Strike: M80 vs Nebula In Chaox (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group A
polymarket
kalshi

Counter-Strike: M80 vs Nebula In Chaox (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group A

Volume:
$12,570

Match Winner

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 13, 2026

Closed: Mar 12, 12:10 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Match Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$12,284
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

M80

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
$720
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$140
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Rounds

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$146
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Nebula In Chaox

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
$430
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This event group covers a Counter-Strike: Global Offensive best-of-one match between M80 and Nebula In Chaox scheduled for March 12, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET as part of the Roman Imperium Cup Group A. Markets track the match winner, Map 1 total kills parity (odd/even), and Map 1 total rounds parity (odd/even).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket defines markets around a BO1 match with explicit Map 1 references (logically contradictory), while Kalshi defines markets around tournament-level outcomes (M80 or Nebula In Chaox winning the entire Roman Imperium Cup 2026), not the specific March 12 match. These are fundamentally different settlement events.Hero tip: Do not assume Polymarket and Kalshi markets resolve to the same outcome. Polymarket resolves on the March 12 match result and Map 1 statistics. Kalshi resolves on who wins the entire Roman Imperium Cup 2026 tournament. A team can lose the match but win the tournament. Request clarification from both platforms on whether Kalshi markets should reference only the March 12 match or the full tournament.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three markets reference Map 1 outcomes: match winner (M80 vs Nebula In Chaox), total kills parity (odd/even), and total rounds parity (odd/even). Primary source is HLTV.org with 2-hour fallback to consensus reporting. Cancellation, forfeit, or delay beyond 7 days triggers 50-50 resolution. However, a BO1 series contains only one map, making the Map 1 nomenclature semantically ambiguous.
  • Kalshi: Two markets resolve to Yes if M80 wins the Roman Imperium Cup 2026 OR if Nebula In Chaox wins the Roman Imperium Cup 2026, both referencing the March 12 match. These are tournament-level outcomes, not match-level outcomes. No source or edge-case logic provided. A team losing the March 12 match could still win the tournament, causing both markets to resolve Yes despite the match loss.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.