TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$230,557,910
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,202,344,730
501,342
Markets across
13,602
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,822
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs JiJieHao (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group A
Volume:
$75,467
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Counter-Strike best-of-one match between M80 and JiJieHao in the Roman Imperium Cup Group A, scheduled for March 12, 2026 at 9:45 AM ET. Markets track the match winner, Map 1 total rounds parity, and Map 1 total kills parity across Polymarket and Kalshi platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi markets contain a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (JiJieHao wins OR M80 wins) resolve to Yes, making the market non-binary and fundamentally unresolvable. Additionally, Polymarket and Kalshi markets operate at different scopes: Polymarket tracks Map 1 statistics and match outcome, while Kalshi references tournament-level victory without clear tie to the specific match.Hero Tip:
Polymarket markets are tradeable with caution: they have clear binary outcomes and defined resolution sources (HLTV.org). Avoid Kalshi markets entirely until the logical contradiction is resolved. If trading Polymarket, verify HLTV.org publishes Map 1 round counts and kill statistics within 2 hours; if not, markets default to 50-50 resolution. Request Kalshi clarification on whether markets should resolve to match winner or tournament winner.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three markets with clear binary outcomes: Match Winner (M80 vs JiJieHao), Map 1 Odd/Even Rounds, and Map 1 Odd/Even Kills. All resolve via HLTV.org within 2-hour window post-match. Cancellation, delay beyond 7 days, forfeit, or series-clinch scenarios resolve to 50-50. Key Quote: 'The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.'
- Kalshi: Two markets with identical resolution logic: both state 'If JiJieHao wins...then Yes' AND 'If M80 wins...then Yes', creating a logical impossibility. Markets reference tournament victory (Roman Imperium Cup 2026) rather than match outcome. No fallback resolution criteria or source specified. Key Quote: 'If JiJieHao wins the Roman Imperium Cup 2026...then the market resolves to Yes. If M80 wins the Roman Imperium Cup 2026...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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