TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs NIP (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group A
predict
polymarket

What is the result of Luminosity vs NIP?

Volume:
$435,971

Match Winner

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 17, 2026

Closed: Sep 17, 3:07 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Match Winner

View
100%
52%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$430,152
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Match Winner

View
99%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$8,709
$5,814
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-6.5) vs Luminosity (+6.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-3.5) vs Luminosity (+3.5)

View
0%
34%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-3.5) vs Luminosity (+3.5)

View
N/A
N/A
—
$54
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
100%
50%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
N/A
N/A
98¢
$1,100
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Luminosity (-3.5) vs NIP (+3.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Luminosity (-6.5) vs NIP (+6.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Luminosity (-9.5) vs NIP (+9.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 13

Intro

This market tracks whether the total number of rounds played on Map 1 in the Counter-Strike match between Luminosity and NIP will be over or under 21.5. Currently, the aggregated probability across Predict and Polymarket indicates a 100.0% chance of the total rounds being over 21.5, with resolution based on official results from hltv.org. This event group includes markets for the overall match winner, a round handicap on Map 1, and total rounds played on Map 1. Keep an eye on the start of the match on September 17, 2026, as that date marks the beginning of the event window for resolution.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Predict offer identical resolution criteria, relying on hltv.org as the primary source and outlining the same conditions for cancellation, postponement, forfeits, and incomplete matches.Primary resolution logic: https://hltv.org

Core resolution logic:

  • Match winner markets resolve to the team that wins the match.
  • If the match is canceled or ends in a tie, the match winner markets resolve to 50-50.
  • Map 1 specific markets require Map 1 to be played to completion.
  • Postponement is allowed up to October 1, 2026, with resolution based on the played result if rescheduled within that timeframe; otherwise, 50-50.
  • Forfeits/disqualifications before the start of the match result in a 50-50 resolution for the match winner market, but the team winning due to opponent forfeiture resolves the match winner market to that team.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Name Discrepancies: Minor discrepancies in team names will be resolved based on the underlying real-world match, using recognizable abbreviations and accounting for sponsor tags.
  • Delayed Resolution: If hltv.org does not publish results within 2 hours of the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting (including video evidence) will be used.
  • Map 1 Not Played: If Map 1 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default, the Map 1 markets (handicap and total rounds) resolve to 50-50.
Timing: Resolution will occur after the official results are published on hltv.org, or within 2 hours of the event's conclusion if hltv.org is delayed, and no later than October 2, 2026, to account for the postponement window.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Luminosity and NIP in the Logitech G Play Connect Group A, initially scheduled for September 17, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Luminosity" if Luminosity win the match against NIP. This market will resolve to "NIP" if NIP win the match against Luminosity. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 1, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 17, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Predict

This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Luminosity and NIP in the Logitech G Play Connect Group A, initially scheduled for September 17, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Luminosity" if Luminosity win the match against NIP. This market will resolve to "NIP" if NIP win the match against Luminosity. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 1, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 17, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Predict, this dashboard aggregates predictions on the outcome of the Luminosity versus NIP CS:GO match. Currently, the consensus view across these platforms indicates a strong likelihood of a particular result, with a combined volume of $435,971. While both venues offer a way to forecast the match’s result, they may display differing probabilities. This is due to variations in trader participation and how each platform weights information. The dashboard provides a consolidated view of these predictions for the Luminosity vs NIP CS:GO match, allowing for a more informed assessment of potential outcomes.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict for this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters. This can lead to differences compared to traditional sportsbook odds, which are typically set by a smaller team of professionals. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting patterns and risk management more heavily, while prediction markets tend to prioritize informational efficiency. It's important to note that both types of odds represent probabilities, but they are derived through different mechanisms. Comparing them can provide a more nuanced understanding of the potential outcome of the Luminosity vs NIP CS:GO match.

Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price discrepancies between Polymarket and Predict on this market can arise from several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information regarding the Luminosity vs NIP CS:GO match. Trading volume also plays a role; lower volume on one platform can lead to greater price volatility and divergence. Furthermore, the specific mechanisms for price discovery – how traders can buy and sell predictions – differ between Polymarket and Predict, contributing to these variations. These differences don't necessarily indicate that one platform is 'more correct,' but rather reflect distinct perspectives and market dynamics.

Several signals could influence trading activity and shift the probabilities in this market. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or potential roster changes for either Luminosity or NIP could impact expectations. Unexpected announcements about the tournament format or venue could also be a catalyst. Major upsets in other matches within the Logitech G Play Connect Group A could also indirectly affect sentiment. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of each team’s chances of winning the Luminosity vs NIP CS:GO match will likely cause movement in this market.