TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Counter-Strike: Global Offensive best-of-one match between Liquid and BESTIA in the Roman Imperium Cup Group C, scheduled for March 13, 2026 at 7:15 AM ET. Markets span match winner, map-level round totals (odd/even), and map-level kill totals (odd/even), with resolution sourced primarily from HLTV.org.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi markets reference tournament outcome (Roman Imperium Cup 2026 winner) while Polymarket markets reference the specific match outcome (Liquid vs BESTIA BO1). The relationship between match result and tournament result is undefined, creating scope ambiguity.Hero Tip:
Treat Kalshi and Polymarket as separate resolution universes. Polymarket resolves on the match result with clear edge-case rules; Kalshi resolves on tournament outcome with no stated fallback logic. Cross-platform arbitrage is high-risk unless you confirm the tournament format guarantees this BO1 determines the cup winner.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Match-level resolution: Liquid vs BESTIA BO1 winner, map 1 round parity, and map 1 kill parity. Resolves to 50-50 if match is canceled, delayed beyond 7 days, forfeited, or not played. Source: HLTV.org primary, credible consensus within 2 hours fallback. Key quote: 'If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.'Kalshi:
Tournament-level resolution: Markets resolve Yes if BESTIA or Liquid wins the Roman Imperium Cup 2026, referencing the same match but framing outcome as tournament victory. No cancellation, forfeit, or delay rules stated. No resolution source specified. Key quote: 'If BESTIA wins the Roman Imperium Cup 2026: BESTIA vs. Liquid CS2 match originally scheduled for Mar 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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