TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a best-of-three Counter-Strike match between Lilmix and Rune Eaters in the European Pro League Series 6 Group B, scheduled for April 2, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. Markets span the overall series outcome, individual map winners, and statistical properties (kills/rounds) across Maps 1–3. Resolution depends on match completion and official HLTV reporting within 2 hours post-event.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket resolve fundamentally different events. Kalshi markets resolve based on the tournament winner (European Pro League Series 6 overall), while Polymarket markets resolve based on individual map outcomes and match results in a specific BO3 series. These are logically incompatible resolution scopes.Hero Tip:
Do not assume Kalshi and Polymarket markets will move together. Kalshi resolves YES if either team wins the entire EPL S6 tournament (regardless of this specific BO3 outcome), while Polymarket resolves based solely on this BO3 match and its individual maps. A team can lose this BO3 but still win the tournament, causing Kalshi YES and Polymarket NO simultaneously.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Outlier: Kalshi's two markets both resolve YES if the named team wins the entire European Pro League Series 6 2026 tournament, not the specific BO3 match. The resolution condition is 'If [Team] wins the European Pro League Series 6 2026: Rune Eaters vs. Lilmix CS2 match originally scheduled for Apr 2, 2026 at 4:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.' This conflates tournament victory with match outcome.Polymarket:
Aligned with standard esports resolution: Polymarket's 12 markets all resolve based on the outcome of the specific BO3 match between Lilmix and Rune Eaters scheduled for April 2, 2026, and individual map results within that series. For example, the main match market states 'This market will resolve to Lilmix if Lilmix win the match against Rune Eaters' and map markets resolve based on 'the Counter-Strike Elimination match between Lilmix and Rune Eaters in the European Pro League Series 6 Group B.' All Polymarket markets use hltv.org as the primary source.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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