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Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs
kalshi
polymarket

Who will win the Lilmix vs NEW VISION match?

Volume:
$219,349

Match Winner

 - Polymarket

Match Winner - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 30, 2026

Closed: Jun 30, 1:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Match Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$99,822
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$38,807
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Lilmix

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$33,473
N/A
N/A
$24,261
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$19,537
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Lilmix (-6.5) vs NEW VISION (+6.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
20¢
N/A
$183
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map Handicap: LILMIX (-1.5) vs NEW VISION (+1.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

NEW VISION

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$26,958
N/A
N/A
$16,666
Settled
No
polymarket

Map Handicap: NEW VISION (-1.5) vs Lilmix (+1.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$413
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$75
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Lilmix (-12.5) vs NEW VISION (+12.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
50%
Yes 50¢No 51¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NEW VISION (-3.5) vs Lilmix (+3.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NEW VISION (-6.5) vs Lilmix (+6.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Lilmix (-3.5) vs NEW VISION (+3.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Lilmix (-9.5) vs NEW VISION (+9.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NEW VISION (-3.5) vs Lilmix (+3.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Lilmix (-3.5) vs NEW VISION (+3.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Lilmix (-9.5) vs NEW VISION (+9.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 23

Description

A Best-of-3 Counter-Strike match between Lilmix and NEW VISION in the CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs Lower Bracket Round 1, scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 7:00 AM EDT. Markets cover match winner, individual map winners, map round totals, and map handicap outcomes.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's match winner market contains a logical contradiction: both possible outcomes (Lilmix wins OR NEW VISION wins) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable and unable to differentiate between competing outcomes.Hero tip: Do not trade on Kalshi's match winner market. All substantive match resolution logic is unified across Polymarket markets (match winner, map winners, handicap, games total, round totals). Use Polymarket as the authoritative source for this event group.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Match winner market states: 'If Lilmix wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If NEW VISION wins...resolves to Yes'. Both outcomes map to identical resolution, creating logical impossibility. No mechanism exists to distinguish winner.
  • Polymarket: Match winner (Question 10) resolves to 'Lilmix' if Lilmix wins, 'NEW VISION' if NEW VISION wins. Cancellation, tie, or 7+ day delay without winner = 50-50. Forfeit/disqualification/walkover before match start = 50-50. Mid-match forfeit by opponent = award to winning team. Logically coherent and resolvable.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket round 1 match between Lilmix and NEW VISION in the CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 30 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Lilmix" if Lilmix win the match against NEW VISION. This market will resolve to "NEW VISION" if NEW VISION win the match against Lilmix. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by the outcome of the CCT Europe Challengers Series 2026 CS2 match between Lilmix and NEW VISION scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 7:00 AM EDT. The market resolves to Yes if either team wins the match. The match result is final as played on the scheduled date and time.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price events differently because they operate on distinct mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract a margin, while prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi rely on peer-to-peer trading, where prices emerge from collective trader belief. Prediction markets often reflect sharper, more dynamic pricing because traders face direct financial incentive to correct mispricings. However, sportsbooks may offer tighter spreads and faster liquidity in mainstream events. For niche esports matchups, prediction markets can reveal sentiment that sportsbooks haven't yet priced, making them valuable for comparative analysis.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and risk tolerances, leading to natural price variation. Polymarket may emphasize binary match outcomes, while Kalshi focuses on map handicaps, creating distinct contract structures and participant bases. Regulatory frameworks, fee schedules, and UI design also influence where traders congregate and how aggressively they move prices. Additionally, information arrival and order flow timing can cause temporary divergence before arbitrageurs narrow the gap. Monitoring both venues reveals which narrative is gaining traction and where value may exist.

Team roster changes, player substitutions, or injury announcements can shift odds significantly before the match begins. Recent map performance, head-to-head records, and playoff momentum all influence trader positioning. Scrimmage results or public practice footage may reveal strategic shifts that alter perceived win probability. Betting volume spikes on either side can signal sharp money entering the market, prompting price adjustments. Tournament bracket updates, scheduling delays, or venue changes could also trigger repricing. Following team social media, esports news outlets, and in-game statistics will help traders stay ahead of market-moving developments.