TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Counter-Strike Best-of-3 match between LAG Gaming and Voca scheduled for February 27, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET in the PGL Bucharest North American Closed Qualifier Playoffs. Markets span match outcome, individual map winners, map count, and handicap bets across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi match outcome market contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (LAG Gaming wins OR Voca wins) resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable. Polymarket markets are internally coherent but diverge from Kalshi and from each other on forfeit/disqualification handling.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading the Kalshi match outcome market due to data integrity failure. For Polymarket, understand that the match outcome market distinguishes between pre-match forfeits (50-50) and mid-series forfeits (winner determined), while map and handicap markets treat all forfeits as 50-50. Always cross-reference HLTV official results within 2 hours of match conclusion.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Match outcome market states: If LAG Gaming wins, resolve Yes. If Voca wins, resolve Yes. This is a logical contradiction—both outcomes cannot both resolve to Yes. The market is unresolvable as written.Polymarket - Match Outcome:
Resolves to LAG Gaming or Voca based on match winner. If match begins and one team wins via forfeit/disqualification/walkover, market resolves to the winning team. If match is canceled entirely or team withdraws before start, resolves 50-50. Key Quote: If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.Polymarket - Map Winners (Map 1, Map 2):
Resolves to the map winner if map is completed. If map is not completed for any reason, resolves 50-50. If match is canceled or delayed beyond 7 days without play beginning, resolves 50-50. Does not distinguish between pre-match and mid-series forfeits.Polymarket - Games Total O/U 2.5:
Over if 3+ maps played; Under if fewer than 3 maps. Maps won by forfeit/disqualification/walkover count if match is completed. If match is canceled, ends in tie, or delayed 7+ days without winner, resolves 50-50. If match begins but incomplete and one team wins via forfeit, resolves 50-50.Polymarket - Map Handicap Markets:
LAG (-1.5) resolves to LAG if LAG wins 2+ more maps than Voca; otherwise Voca. VOCA (-1.5) resolves to Voca if Voca wins 2+ more maps than LAG; otherwise LAG. Forfeits/disqualifications count if match completed. If match canceled, tie, delayed 7+ days, or begins but incomplete with forfeit, resolves 50-50.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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