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Counter-Strike: Keyd vs ShindeN (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #2 Playoffs
kalshi
polymarket

Counter-Strike: Keyd vs ShindeN (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #2 Playoffs

Volume:
$44,607

ShindeN

 - Kalshi

ShindeN - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 24, 2026

Closed: Mar 23, 10:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

ShindeN

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10,054
N/A
N/A
$5,074
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map Handicap: SHIN (-1.5) vs Keyd (+1.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Rounds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Rounds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Keyd

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,394
N/A
N/A
$9,143
Settled
No
polymarket

Match Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,039
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 1 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,226
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 2 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$537
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$146
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map Handicap: Keyd (-1.5) vs ShindeN (+1.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$106
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Rounds

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 14

Description

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between Keyd and ShindeN in the ESL Challenger League South America Cup #2 Playoffs, initially scheduled for March 23 at 6:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Keyd" if Keyd win the match against ShindeN. This market will resolve to "ShindeN" if ShindeN win the match against Keyd. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi and Polymarket resolve fundamentally different events. Kalshi resolves on match winner (either team winning the series), while Polymarket resolves on specific map-level metrics (rounds, kills, map winners, handicaps) and series length. Kalshi's markets are logically contradictory—both outcomes cannot simultaneously resolve YES.Hero tip: Do not trade across these platforms assuming they settle the same event. Kalshi's two markets (items 1-2) both resolve YES for any match outcome, making them unresolvable. Polymarket's markets are resolvable but depend on match completion and map play. Verify match actually occurs before settlement.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi presents two contradictory markets that both resolve YES regardless of outcome. Market 1 states 'If ShindeN wins...then resolves YES' and Market 2 states 'If Keyd wins...then resolves YES.' This creates a logical impossibility where every realistic scenario (ShindeN wins OR Keyd wins) triggers YES on at least one market. No resolution source, timing, or tie-breaking logic is provided. This market group is fundamentally unresolvable.
  • Polymarket: Aligned with standard esports settlement practices: Polymarket resolves on specific, measurable map-level outcomes (total rounds, total kills, map winners, series length) with HLTV.org as primary source and 2-hour fallback to credible reporting. All markets include comprehensive edge cases (cancellation, forfeit, delay beyond 7 days, series clinch scenarios). Markets are logically independent and resolvable. Key quote: 'The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.