TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$217,487,446
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,300,303,450
498,643
Markets across
13,761
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,763
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Counter-Strike: K27 vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1: Closed Qualifier Playoffs
Volume:
$69,251
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Counter-Strike Best-of-3 match between K27 and CYBERSHOKE Esports in the Stake Ranked Episode 1: Closed Qualifier Playoffs, scheduled for March 4, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET. Markets span match winner, individual map winners (Map 1 and Map 2), total maps played, and map handicap outcomes across Polymarket and Kalshi platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market structure is incomplete and does not address edge cases (forfeits, cancellations, delays). Polymarket provides comprehensive granular markets with explicit 50-50 resolution rules for non-completion scenarios. The two platforms are not directly comparable as markets.Hero Tip:
Treat Polymarket as the authoritative resolution source for this event. Polymarket's match winner market explicitly resolves 50-50 on pre-match forfeits, cancellations, or delays beyond 7 days. Kalshi's binary structure does not clarify these scenarios. Monitor HLTV.org for official results within 2 hours of match conclusion; if delayed, Polymarket permits consensus from credible reporting and video evidence.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Five distinct markets (match winner, Map 1 winner, Map 2 winner, total maps O/U 2.5, map handicap -1.5/+1.5) with explicit edge-case logic. Match winner resolves 50-50 if match is canceled, delayed beyond 7 days without play, or ends in pre-match forfeit/disqualification/walkover. If match begins and opponent forfeits mid-series, the winning team is declared. Maps won by forfeit/disqualification/walkover count toward totals and handicap if match is completed. Resolution source: HLTV.org within 2 hours; fallback to credible reporting and video evidence.
- Kalshi: Single binary market: resolves Yes if K27 wins OR Yes if CYBERSHOKE Esports wins. No explicit edge-case handling provided for cancellations, delays, forfeits, or incomplete matches. Market structure implies automatic Yes resolution but does not clarify what happens if match does not occur or is abandoned.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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