TOTAL VOLUME:
$53.9b
24H VOL:
$231,847,320
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,314,157,835
499,417
Markets across
14,310
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,754
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Nebula In Chaox (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group A
Volume:
$10,290
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Counter-Strike 2 best-of-one match between JiJieHao and Nebula In Chaox in the Roman Imperium Cup Group A, scheduled for March 12, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. Markets track the match winner, Map 1 kill parity, and Map 1 round parity across Polymarket and Kalshi platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction (both outcomes resolve to Yes) and scope ambiguity (match vs. tournament outcome). Polymarket markets are internally consistent but depend on timely HLTV.org publication.Hero Tip:
Polymarket markets are resolvable if HLTV.org publishes within 2 hours. Kalshi market is fundamentally unresolvable as written—both Yes and No outcomes cannot both trigger Yes resolution. Request Kalshi clarification before trading.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate markets: (1) Match Winner resolves to JiJieHao or Nebula In Chaox based on BO1 outcome. (2) Map 1 Odd/Even Kills counts total combined kills; cancellation/forfeit/delay >7 days = 50-50. (3) Map 1 Odd/Even Rounds counts total combined rounds won. All resolve via HLTV.org within 2 hours or credible consensus. Key quote: 'If Map 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.'
- Kalshi: Single market states: 'If Nebula In Chaox wins... then resolves to Yes. If JiJieHao wins... then resolves to Yes.' This is logically contradictory—both outcomes cannot both be Yes. Scope ambiguity: unclear if resolution requires winning the match or the entire Roman Imperium Cup 2026 tournament. No edge-case handling for forfeit, cancellation, or delay provided.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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