TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Counter-Strike Best-of-3 match between Inner Circle Esports and FriendlyCampers in the Stake Ranked Episode 1: Closed Qualifier Playoffs, scheduled for March 5, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET. Markets span match winner, individual map winners (Map 1 and Map 2), games total over/under, and map handicap outcomes across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market contains a logical contradiction (both outcomes resolve to Yes), making it fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket provides five coherent, mutually exclusive markets with clear winner definitions and edge-case handling. The two platforms cannot be reconciled.Hero Tip:
Disregard Kalshi's market entirely due to logical impossibility. Trade only on Polymarket. Confirm all outcomes via HLTV.org within 2 hours of match conclusion. If HLTV is unavailable, use credible video consensus. Forfeits/disqualifications before match start = 50-50 on match winner and handicaps; mid-match forfeits = 50-50 on match winner and handicaps, but map totals and completed maps count. Delays beyond 7 days without play = 50-50 across all markets.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Market states: 'If FriendlyCampers wins... resolves to Yes. If Inner Circle Esports wins... resolves to Yes.' This is a logical contradiction—both mutually exclusive outcomes cannot both resolve to Yes. No No outcome is defined. Market is unresolvable.Polymarket:
Five distinct markets: (1) Map 1 Winner: ICE or FC; (2) Map 2 Winner: ICE or FC; (3) Match Winner: ICE or FC; (4) Games Total O/U 2.5: Over (3+ maps) or Under (<3 maps); (5) Map Handicaps: ICE -1.5 (wins 2+ maps) or FC -1.5 (wins 2+ maps). All outcomes are mutually exclusive and resolvable. Edge cases: 50-50 if match canceled, delayed >7 days without play, or ends in forfeit/disqualification before start. Forfeits mid-match or at clinching map count as completed match for map totals and handicaps.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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