TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Counter-Strike: INFURITY Gaming vs Misa Esports (BO3) - United21 Group A
kalshi
polymarket

Who will win INFURITY Gaming vs Misa Esports?

Volume:
$97,216

Misa Esports

 - Kalshi

Misa Esports - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 11, 2026

Closed: Jul 11, 6:59 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Misa Esports

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$28,967
N/A
N/A
$13,275
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,517
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$83
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

INFURITY Gaming

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$34,463
N/A
N/A
$11,724
Settled
No
polymarket

Match Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$28,179
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,958
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map Handicap: MISA (-1.5) vs INFURITY Gaming (+1.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$34
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map Handicap: INF (-1.5) vs Misa Esports (+1.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
20¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Misa Esports (-3.5) vs INFURITY Gaming (+3.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Misa Esports (-6.5) vs INFURITY Gaming (+6.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: INFURITY Gaming (-3.5) vs Misa Esports (+3.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
20¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: INFURITY Gaming (-12.5) vs Misa Esports (+12.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Misa Esports (-3.5) vs INFURITY Gaming (+3.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
20¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Misa Esports (-6.5) vs INFURITY Gaming (+6.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
20¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Misa Esports (-3.5) vs INFURITY Gaming (+3.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Misa Esports (-6.5) vs INFURITY Gaming (+6.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
20¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Misa Esports (-9.5) vs INFURITY Gaming (+9.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 24

Description

This event group covers a Counter-Strike Best-of-3 match between INFURITY Gaming and Misa Esports scheduled for July 11, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET in the United21 Group A tournament. Markets span individual map winners, overall match outcome, total maps played, map handicap, and per-map round totals across Polymarket and Kalshi platforms.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms apply identical core logic: match must be completed with a decisive winner, forfeits and walkovers resolve 50-50, cancellations or 7+ day delays without play resolve 50-50, and HLTV.org is the authoritative source.Primary resolution logic: HLTV.org (https://hltv.org); fallback to consensus of credible reporting and video evidence if HLTV does not publish final results within 2 hours of match conclusion

Core resolution logic:

  • Match must be played to completion with a decisive winner (2-0 or 2-1 in BO3 format) for binary outcome markets (Map 1 Winner, Map 2 Winner, Match Winner) to resolve to either team
  • If match begins but is not completed, and one team wins by opponent forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover during play, the match resolves to the winning team for match outcome but 50-50 for Games Total and Map Handicap markets
  • If match is canceled entirely, ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from scheduled date without play beginning, all markets resolve 50-50
  • For per-map round total markets (Map 1/2/3 Over/Under 21.5), the specific map must be played to completion with rounds actually played; forfeit or default on that map resolves 50-50 for that market only
  • Games Total (O/U 2.5) resolves Over if 3 or more maps are played, Under if fewer than 3 maps are played; maps won by forfeit count toward total if match is completed
  • Map Handicap (Misa -1.5 vs INFURITY +1.5) resolves to Misa if they win 2+ more maps than INFURITY; otherwise resolves to INFURITY; forfeited maps count toward handicap if match is completed

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Incomplete Match with Forfeiture: If match begins but one team forfeits before completion (e.g., after 1 map), the Match Winner market resolves to the team that wins by forfeit, but Games Total and Map Handicap markets resolve 50-50 per their specific rules
  • Map Not Played to Completion: For per-map round markets (Map 1/2/3 O/U 21.5), if the map is not played at all or is decided by forfeit/disqualification/walkover rather than rounds played, that market resolves 50-50 regardless of overall match outcome
  • Exact Round Total of 21.5: If combined rounds on any map equals exactly 21.5, the Over/Under market for that map resolves 50-50
  • HLTV Publication Delay: If HLTV.org does not publish final results within 2 hours of match conclusion, credible reporting (news outlets, official tournament sources) and video evidence may be used as fallback resolution source
  • Team Name Discrepancies: Minor spelling variations, sponsor tags, academy designations, or formatting differences in team names are treated as referring to the same team; resolution is based on the underlying real-world match, not exact name matching
Timing: Resolution occurs upon completion of the match or determination of a decisive outcome (win by forfeit/disqualification). If match is not completed or canceled, resolution occurs at the 7-day deadline from scheduled start time (July 11, 2026 4:00 AM ET + 7 days). HLTV.org publication or fallback source must be confirmed within 2 hours of match conclusion for timely settlement.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Decider match between INFURITY Gaming and Misa Esports in the United21 Group A, initially scheduled for July 11 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "INFURITY Gaming" if INFURITY Gaming win the match against Misa Esports. This market will resolve to "Misa Esports" if Misa Esports win the match against INFURITY Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

This event covers the outcome of the United21 2026 CS2 match between Misa Esports and INFURITY Gaming scheduled for July 11, 2026 at 4:00 AM EDT. Each market resolves based on which team wins the match. Misa Esports winning the match resolves their associated market to Yes, while INFURITY Gaming winning resolves their associated market to Yes. The match result is determined by standard Counter-Strike 2 competitive play and tournament rules.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi operate on peer-to-peer pricing, where traders themselves set odds through supply and demand rather than oddsmakers. This often produces sharper, more reactive lines because participants have direct financial skin in the game. Sportsbooks, by contrast, build in margins and manage liability across many bets. Prediction market odds tend to move faster on breaking news and reflect crowd sentiment more transparently. For esports events, prediction markets may offer tighter spreads and earlier price discovery than traditional sportsbooks, especially for niche matchups.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Platform differences in user base, liquidity depth, and fee structures can create temporary price gaps. Polymarket attracts larger volumes and may reflect faster consensus on major esports events, while Kalshi's user composition and order flow can produce distinct valuations. Arbitrage traders typically exploit these spreads, but friction costs and withdrawal delays mean small divergences persist. Additionally, each platform's rules on market resolution timing and source verification may influence how traders price tail risks, causing the platforms to converge and diverge as new information emerges.

Key catalysts include roster changes, player injuries or substitutions, recent tournament performance by either team, and pre-match commentary from analysts or team representatives. Scrim results or practice footage leaks can shift sentiment quickly in esports markets. Betting activity on external sportsbooks may also signal sharp money positioning. Map pool announcements, if disclosed before the match, could influence perceived matchup strength. Social media momentum and community sentiment around team form matter too. Monitor esports news feeds and team social accounts closely, as even minor roster tweaks or coaching changes can reprrice this market substantially.