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Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage
kalshi
polymarket

Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage

Volume:
$562,587

Match Winner

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 14, 2026

Closed: Jun 14, 10:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Match Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$215,377
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Virtus.pro

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$63,294
N/A
N/A
$43,421
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 2 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$111,995
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

illwill

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$51,685
N/A
N/A
$32,778
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,324
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$250
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$63
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$106,546
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map Handicap: VP (-1.5) vs illwill (+1.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,101
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Rounds Handicap: illwill (-6.5) vs Virtus.pro (+6.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$300
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Rounds Handicap: illwill (-9.5) vs Virtus.pro (+9.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$300
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: illwill (-3.5) vs Virtus.pro (+3.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map Handicap: ILWL (-1.5) vs Virtus.pro (+1.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Virtus.pro (-3.5) vs illwill (+3.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: illwill (-6.5) vs Virtus.pro (+6.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Virtus.pro (-6.5) vs illwill (+6.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Rounds Handicap: illwill (-3.5) vs Virtus.pro (+3.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Virtus.pro (-3.5) vs illwill (+3.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Virtus.pro (-9.5) vs illwill (+9.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 27

Description

This event group covers a Counter-Strike best-of-three match between illwill and Virtus.pro in the CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage, scheduled for June 14, 2026 at 4:00 AM EDT. Markets span match outcome, individual map winners, round totals per map, map handicap, and series length, with resolution sourced from HLTV.org.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's match outcome market contains a logical contradiction where both possible match outcomes (illwill win and Virtus.pro win) are stated to resolve to the same result (Yes), rendering the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket provides coherent binary resolution logic.Hero tip: The Kalshi market is logically broken and should be avoided. Use Polymarket's BO3 outcome market (Question 4) as the authoritative source. All Polymarket sub-markets are internally consistent and reference HLTV.org with a 2-hour publication window and credible reporting fallback.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Match outcome market states: 'If illwill wins... resolves to Yes' AND 'If Virtus.pro wins... resolves to Yes.' This is a logical contradiction—both mutually exclusive outcomes cannot resolve to the same result. The market is unresolvable as written.
  • Polymarket: Match outcome (Question 4): Resolves to 'illwill' if illwill wins the BO3, 'Virtus.pro' if Virtus.pro wins. Cancellation, tie, or 7-day delay without play begins = 50-50. Forfeits/walkovers before match start = 50-50. Mid-match forfeits/disqualifications = winner determined. Source: HLTV.org within 2 hours, or credible consensus with video evidence.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 3 match between illwill and Virtus.pro in the CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage, initially scheduled for June 14 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "illwill" if illwill win the match against Virtus.pro. This market will resolve to "Virtus.pro" if Virtus.pro win the match against illwill. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by the outcome of the CCT Europe Series #4 2026 CS2 match between Virtus.pro and illwill scheduled for June 14, 2026 at 4:00 AM EDT. The market resolves to Yes if either team wins the match. Each team has a corresponding market outcome that resolves to Yes upon that team's victory in the match.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like these operate on real-time trader consensus rather than fixed sportsbook lines. Market odds adjust continuously as new information emerges, reflecting live sentiment from participants with financial skin in the game. Unlike traditional sportsbooks, prediction markets often incorporate sharp bettors and professional traders earlier, sometimes pricing outcomes before mainstream bookmakers adjust. This can create arbitrage opportunities or validate sportsbook pricing, depending on information flow and market depth.

Polymarket and Kalshi serve different trader bases, contract structures, and liquidity pools. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Polymarket emphasizes binary match outcomes, while Kalshi offers granular derivatives like map-round totals, attracting specialized players. Regulatory constraints, fee structures, and user interface design also influence where liquidity pools. Price differences typically narrow as resolution approaches, but temporary spreads reward traders who monitor both venues.

Team roster changes, player substitutions, or injury announcements can shift odds significantly. Recent form, head-to-head records, and map pool preferences influence trader positioning. Scrim results or public statements from team management may trigger repricing. Map veto strategy and side selection (CT or T start) are revealed closer to match time and often spark late volatility. Unexpected delays or format changes announced by CCT organizers can also move this market.