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Counter-Strike: illwill vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs
kalshi
polymarket

Counter-Strike: illwill vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs

Volume:
$79,118

Nuclear TigeRES

 - Kalshi

Nuclear TigeRES - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 14, 2026

Closed: Jun 14, 3:39 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Nuclear TigeRES

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$10,137
N/A
N/A
$7,346
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map Handicap: NTR (-1.5) vs illwill (+1.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,034
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Match Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$21,864
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

illwill

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12,301
N/A
N/A
$8,820
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 1 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$21,814
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,976
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$992
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Nuclear TigeRES (-3.5) vs illwill (+3.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Nuclear TigeRES (-3.5) vs illwill (+3.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Nuclear TigeRES (-3.5) vs illwill (+3.5)

View
50%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
50%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Nuclear TigeRES (-6.5) vs illwill (+6.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map Handicap: ILWL (-1.5) vs Nuclear TigeRES (+1.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Nuclear TigeRES (-6.5) vs illwill (+6.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: illwill (-3.5) vs Nuclear TigeRES (+3.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: illwill (-6.5) vs Nuclear TigeRES (+6.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 21

Description

A Counter-Strike: Global Offensive Best-of-3 match between illwill and Nuclear TigeRES in the NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs, scheduled for June 14, 2026 at 1:00 PM EDT. Markets span individual map winners, round handicaps, total maps played, and overall match outcome across Polymarket and Kalshi platforms.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (illwill wins OR Nuclear TigeRES wins) resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket markets are internally consistent but operate under a different scope (individual maps and handicaps vs. overall match).Hero tip: The Kalshi market is broken and should not be traded. Focus exclusively on Polymarket markets. For all Polymarket markets, ensure the match is played to completion on HLTV.org. If HLTV.org does not publish results within 2 hours of match end, resolution falls to credible reporting consensus. Any cancellation, 7+ day delay without play, or incomplete map (except clinching forfeits) triggers 50-50 resolution.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Market states: 'If illwill wins the NODWIN Clutch Series 2026... then the market resolves to Yes. If Nuclear TigeRES wins the NODWIN Clutch Series 2026... then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical impossibility where both mutually exclusive outcomes map to the same resolution (Yes), leaving no path to a No resolution. The market is unresolvable as written.
  • Polymarket: All markets use consistent resolution logic: primary source is HLTV.org official results; if HLTV.org does not publish within 2 hours of event conclusion, credible reporting consensus (including video evidence) is used. Cancellations, ties, delays beyond 7 days without play, incomplete maps, and forfeits (except clinching forfeits) resolve to 50-50. Maps won by forfeit/disqualification/walkover count toward totals and handicaps if match is completed.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round of 16 match between illwill and Nuclear TigeRES in the NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 14 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "illwill" if illwill win the match against Nuclear TigeRES. This market will resolve to "Nuclear TigeRES" if Nuclear TigeRES win the match against illwill. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

This event covers the outcome of the NODWIN Clutch Series 2026 CS2 match between Nuclear TigeRES and illwill scheduled for June 14, 2026 at 1:00 PM EDT. The match will be decided by standard competitive Counter-Strike 2 gameplay, with the winning team determined by match completion according to the tournament format. Resolution is based on the official result of the match as recorded by NODWIN and the participating teams.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi differ from traditional sportsbooks in that traders directly set odds through supply and demand rather than oddsmakers posting fixed lines. Sportsbooks typically adjust odds to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets reflect aggregate trader belief with minimal friction. This market's current pricing suggests traders view the outcome as competitive, though sportsbook lines may diverge based on their own risk management and customer flow. Prediction markets often move faster to new information and can offer sharper pricing for informed traders willing to take contrarian positions.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Platform design, user base composition, and liquidity depth all influence pricing. Polymarket may attract traders with different risk tolerances or information sets than Kalshi, leading to temporary mispricings. Kalshi's regulatory framework and order-matching engine can produce different equilibrium prices than Polymarket's automated market maker model. Additionally, each platform's fee structure and withdrawal policies affect trader incentives to arbitrage. These differences typically narrow as informed traders exploit gaps, but structural variations mean identical events can trade at materially different odds across venues during low-liquidity windows.

Team roster changes, player substitutions, or injury announcements could shift trader positioning significantly. Recent map pool updates or patch changes to the game engine may favor one team's playstyle over the other. Scrim results or public practice footage leaking before the match often trigger repricing. Head-to-head historical performance and recent tournament results serve as anchors, but unexpected lineup tweaks or coaching changes can spark rapid volatility. Monitor team social media and esports news outlets for any announcements that might alter perceived win probability before the match begins.