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406,422

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2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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Kalshi:

61%

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Counter-Strike: illwill vs Lavked (BO3) - PGL Astana: European Closed Qualifier Playoffs
kalshi
polymarket

Counter-Strike: illwill vs Lavked (BO3) - PGL Astana: European Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Volume:
$44,215

Lavked

 - Kalshi

Lavked - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 31, 2026

Closed: Mar 31, 11:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Lavked

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,099
N/A
N/A
$3,113
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map Handicap: Lavked (-1.5) vs illwill (+1.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$26
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Rounds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$21
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Rounds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$21
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Match Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$19,683
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

illwill

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,538
N/A
N/A
$4,781
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 2 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,168
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 1 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,927
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,646
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map Handicap: ILWL (-1.5) vs Lavked (+1.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$56
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Rounds

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 14

Description

This event group covers a best-of-three (BO3) Counter-Strike 2 match between illwill and Lavked in the PGL Astana 2026 European Closed Qualifier Playoffs, originally scheduled for March 31, 2026. The match determines which team advances in the tournament bracket. Resolution depends on identifying the official match winner as declared by PGL.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's match-winner market (items 1-2) resolves YES for either team winning, creating a logical contradiction where both outcomes cannot simultaneously occur. Polymarket's markets (items 3-25) use standard binary or multi-outcome resolution tied to specific match results and statistics. Kalshi's structure is fundamentally unresolvable.Hero tip: Do not trade Kalshi's match-winner market. Its resolution rules state YES if Lavked wins OR YES if illwill wins — both cannot be true simultaneously. This is a data integrity failure. All Polymarket markets (Map 1/2/3 winners, rounds, kills, series total, handicaps, and match winner) are resolvable and internally consistent; use those instead.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's match-winner market (items 1-2) contains a logical contradiction. It states 'If Lavked wins... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If illwill wins... then the market resolves to Yes.' This means both possible outcomes map to the same resolution (YES), making the market unresolvable and creating a data integrity failure. No other platform in this group shares this flawed logic.
  • Polymarket: Aligned with standard resolution practice: Polymarket offers 11 distinct markets (items 3-25) covering match winner (item 18-19), individual map winners (items 1-2, 6-7), map statistics (rounds and kills for Maps 1-3), series total (items 8-9), and handicaps (items 10-11, 24-25). Each market uses clear binary or multi-outcome logic tied to match results or statistics from HLTV.org, with consistent 50-50 fallback rules for cancellations, delays beyond 7 days, forfeits, or incomplete maps. All Polymarket markets are logically sound and resolvable.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.