TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Counter-Strike: illwill vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage
kalshi
polymarket

Counter-Strike: illwill vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage

Volume:
$678,288

ex-RUBY

 - Kalshi

ex-RUBY - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 16, 2026

Closed: Jun 16, 10:49 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

ex-RUBY

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$203,871
N/A
N/A
$98,993
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$29,233
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$8,930
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,106
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$450
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.5¢
N/A
$250
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.5¢
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Match Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$228,824
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

illwill

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$175,844
N/A
N/A
$89,309
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 1 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$23,817
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Rounds Handicap: ex-RUBY (-6.5) vs illwill (+6.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,797
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map Handicap: ex-RUBY (-1.5) vs illwill (+1.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$466
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: ex-RUBY (-3.5) vs illwill (+3.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map Handicap: ILWL (-1.5) vs ex-RUBY (+1.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: illwill (-3.5) vs ex-RUBY (+3.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 33.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: illwill (-3.5) vs ex-RUBY (+3.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: illwill (-6.5) vs ex-RUBY (+6.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: illwill (-9.5) vs ex-RUBY (+9.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: illwill (-12.5) vs ex-RUBY (+12.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Rounds Handicap: ex-RUBY (-3.5) vs illwill (+3.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Rounds Handicap: illwill (-3.5) vs ex-RUBY (+3.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 34

Description

This event group covers a Counter-Strike: Global Offensive best-of-three match between illwill and ex-RUBY scheduled for June 16, 2026 at 7:00 AM EDT in the CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage. Markets span match outcome, individual map winners, map round totals, and map handicap betting across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market measures tournament advancement (both outcomes = Yes), while Polymarket markets measure match outcomes and map-level performance. These are fundamentally different event types despite referencing the same underlying match.Hero tip: Kalshi's market will resolve Yes regardless of which team wins the match, provided the match occurs and a winner is determined. This is NOT a match winner bet. Polymarket's match outcome market (illwill vs ex-RUBY) is the true competitive bet. Use Kalshi only if you are betting on tournament participation, not match outcome.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Market resolves Yes if either ex-RUBY or illwill wins the CCT Europe Series #4 2026 match. Both possible match outcomes trigger Yes resolution. This is a tournament advancement indicator, not a match outcome market. Key Quote: 'If ex-RUBY wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If illwill wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Nine distinct markets covering match outcome (illwill vs ex-RUBY), individual map winners (Map 1, Map 2), round totals per map (Over/Under 21.5), map handicap (-1.5 for ex-RUBY), and games total (Over/Under 2.5). Each market has binary or numeric resolution tied to actual match performance. Key Quote: 'This market will resolve to illwill if illwill win the match against ex-RUBY. This market will resolve to ex-RUBY if ex-RUBY win the match against illwill.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between illwill and ex-RUBY in the CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage, initially scheduled for June 16 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "illwill" if illwill win the match against ex-RUBY. This market will resolve to "ex-RUBY" if ex-RUBY win the match against illwill. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

This event covers the CCT Europe Series #4 2026 CS2 match between ex-RUBY and illwill scheduled for June 16, 2026 at 7:00 AM EDT. The match outcome determines resolution, with separate markets for each team's victory. Resolution is based on the official match result as determined by the tournament organizers and broadcast.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price outcomes through different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set lines based on internal models and manage risk via margin; prediction markets rely on trader consensus and supply-demand dynamics. This match attracts esports-focused traders who may have specialized insight into Counter-Strike team form, roster changes, and recent performance. Prediction market odds often reflect real-time information flow and can diverge significantly from sportsbook lines, especially in niche esports events where traditional bookmakers have less granular data.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Polymarket and Kalshi serve distinct trader bases with different risk tolerances, liquidity depths, and market structures. Polymarket focuses on binary match outcomes, while Kalshi offers granular prop markets like map-round totals. Differences in order-book depth, fee structures, and user demographics can cause price divergence even when tracking the same underlying event. Additionally, traders may hedge positions across platforms, creating temporary arbitrage windows that reflect platform-specific supply imbalances rather than fundamental disagreement about the match outcome.

Key catalysts include roster announcements or player substitutions from either team, recent tournament results and form trends, and any public statements about preparation or strategy. Map pool selections and bans—typically revealed shortly before the match—can shift odds significantly, as certain teams excel on specific maps. Injury reports, visa delays, or technical issues affecting either squad could also trigger repricing. Live-match developments such as early map results will drive continuous price movement as traders update their win probability assessments in real time.