Counter-Strike: Heroic vs NRG (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1
Volume:
$1,100,928
Markets
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a best-of-three Counter-Strike match between Heroic and NRG in ESL Pro League Stage 1, scheduled for March 1, 2026. Markets span match winner, individual map winners (Maps 1 and 2), total maps played, and map handicaps, with resolution tied to official HLTV.org reporting.
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All Polymarket and Kalshi markets apply identical core logic: official HLTV.org results, 2-hour reporting window, 7-day delay threshold, 50-50 for cancellations/ties/incomplete play, and forfeiture/walkover counting only if match is completed.
Primary resolution logic:
HLTV.org official match results; credible consensus reporting with video evidence if HLTV.org does not publish within 2 hours of event conclusion.
Core resolution logic:
Match winner (Heroic vs NRG) resolves to the team winning 2 maps in the best-of-three; forfeiture/disqualification/walkover before match start resolves to 50-50.
Individual map winners (Map 1, Map 2) resolve based on the team winning that specific map if completed; 50-50 if map is not completed for any reason.
Total maps played (Over/Under 2.5) resolves Over if 3+ maps are played, Under if fewer than 3; forfeiture/disqualification/walkover before clinching map resolves to 50-50.
Map handicaps (NRG -1.5 and Heroic -1.5) resolve based on the margin of maps won; forfeiture/disqualification/walkover before clinching resolves to 50-50.
Match cancellation, no-play, tie, or delay beyond 7 days without play beginning triggers 50-50 resolution across all markets.
Forfeits/disqualifications/walkovers count toward totals and handicaps only if the match is completed; incomplete matches with forfeiture resolve to 50-50.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Incomplete match with forfeiture before clinching: If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to opponent forfeiture/disqualification/walkover before the clinching map, total maps and handicap markets resolve to 50-50; match winner resolves to the team that won. Individual map markets resolve based on completed maps only.
Clinching map forfeited: If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited, this counts as a completed match and all markets resolve normally based on the final map count and winner.
HLTV.org reporting delay: If HLTV.org does not publish final results within 2 hours after event conclusion, credible consensus reporting (including video evidence) may be used as resolution source.
Match cancellation or 7-day delay: If the match is canceled (not played at all) or delayed beyond 7 days from March 1, 2026 scheduled date without play beginning, all markets resolve to 50-50.
Incomplete individual map: If a specific map (Map 1 or Map 2) is not completed for any reason, that map's market resolves to 50-50 regardless of overall match status.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official HLTV.org publication of final match result, or within 2 hours after match conclusion via credible consensus reporting. Markets remain open until match completion or 7-day delay threshold is exceeded.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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