TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Counter-Strike: Global Offensive best-of-one match between Heroic and Fluxo W7M in the Roman Imperium Cup Group B, scheduled for March 28, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET. Markets track the match winner, Map 1 kill parity, and Map 1 round parity, with resolution sourced primarily from HLTV.org.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket defines three distinct markets (match winner, Map 1 kills parity, Map 1 rounds parity) with detailed resolution rules for the specific BO1 match, while Kalshi defines two markets that resolve based on tournament-level outcomes (who wins the entire Roman Imperium Cup 2026), not the individual match result. The platforms are measuring fundamentally different events.Hero Tip:
If you trade on Polymarket, you are betting on the outcome of the specific Heroic vs Fluxo W7M match on March 28, 2026. If you trade on Kalshi, you are betting on who wins the entire Roman Imperium Cup 2026 tournament—a much broader and longer-duration event. These will not resolve in parallel; Kalshi's outcome depends on tournament progression, not just this single match.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Distinct stance: Polymarket resolves three separate markets based exclusively on the outcome and statistics of the individual BO1 match between Heroic and Fluxo W7M scheduled for March 28, 2026. The match winner market resolves to the team that wins the match, with 50-50 resolution for cancellations, ties, or delays beyond 7 days. Map-level markets (kills and rounds parity) resolve based on official HLTV data for Map 1 only, or 50-50 if Map 1 is not played. Primary source is HLTV.org with credible reporting fallback within 2 hours of conclusion.Kalshi:
Distinct stance: Kalshi defines two markets that both resolve YES if either Fluxo W7M or Heroic wins the entire Roman Imperium Cup 2026 tournament (not just the individual match). The resolution condition is tournament victory, not match victory. The markets are structured as 'If [Team] wins the Roman Imperium Cup 2026: [Team] vs. Heroic CS2 match originally scheduled for Mar 28, 2026, then resolve YES.' This means Kalshi's resolution depends on the final tournament outcome, which may occur weeks or months after the March 28 match and is independent of whether this specific match is even played.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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