TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$217,487,446
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,300,303,450
498,643
Markets across
13,761
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,763
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group B
Description
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Heroic and CYBERSHOKE Esports in the Roman Imperium Cup Group B, initially scheduled for March 28 at 2:15PM ET. This market will resolve to "Heroic" if Heroic win the match against CYBERSHOKE Esports. This market will resolve to "CYBERSHOKE Esports" if CYBERSHOKE Esports win the match against Heroic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket defines three distinct markets (Match Winner, Map 1 Odd/Even Kills, Map 1 Odd/Even Rounds) with detailed resolution rules tied to HLTV.org and specific match outcomes. Kalshi defines two markets that both resolve YES if either team wins the Roman Imperium Cup 2026, creating logical contradiction and scope mismatch—Kalshi's markets are tournament-level outcomes, not match-specific, and both can resolve YES simultaneously, violating mutual exclusivity.Hero Tip:
Critical trading risk: Polymarket markets are match-specific with clear binary outcomes (Heroic wins OR CYBERSHOKE wins, never both). Kalshi's two markets both resolve YES if the tournament is won by either team, meaning you cannot hedge between them. Do not assume Kalshi markets are equivalent to Polymarket's Match Winner market—they measure different events (tournament victory vs. single match result). Verify the exact tournament structure and whether this match determines the cup winner before trading.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers three independent markets—Match Winner (binary: Heroic or CYBERSHOKE), Map 1 Odd/Even Kills, and Map 1 Odd/Even Rounds—all tied to the single BO1 match scheduled March 28, 2026, with HLTV.org as primary source and 50-50 resolution for cancellation, forfeit, or delay beyond 7 days. Each market has mutually exclusive outcomes and resolves based on actual match play or non-play.
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi defines two markets that both resolve YES if CYBERSHOKE Esports wins the Roman Imperium Cup 2026 OR if Heroic wins the Roman Imperium Cup 2026, with no NO outcome specified and no clear mutual exclusivity. The markets reference the March 28 match as a scheduling anchor but measure tournament-level victory, not match outcome, creating logical contradiction (both markets can resolve YES simultaneously) and scope mismatch with Polymarket's match-specific resolution.
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