TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffs
kalshi
polymarket

Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffs

Volume:
$485,508

Map 1 Winner

 - Polymarket

Map 1 Winner - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 2, 2026

Closed: Apr 1, 5:30 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Map 1 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$46,383
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$11,476
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 2.5 maps

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,499
N/A
N/A
$834
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Match Winner

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$345,056
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 2 Winner

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$78,582
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$574
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map Handicap: M8 (-1.5) vs NIP (+1.5)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$373
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$331
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$326
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Rounds

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$282
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Rounds

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$278
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$241
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Rounds

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$106
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 13

Description

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper Bracket Quarterfinal 4 match between Gentle Mates and NIP in the Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 1 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Gentle Mates" if Gentle Mates win the match against NIP. This market will resolve to "NIP" if NIP win the match against Gentle Mates. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi and Polymarket diverge on the core resolution metric. Kalshi resolves on whether over 2.5 maps are played (a series-level outcome), while Polymarket's markets resolve on individual map results, map statistics, and series outcomes—creating fundamentally different settlement scopes and dependencies.Hero tip: If you trade on Kalshi's over/under 2.5 maps market, your outcome depends solely on total maps played. On Polymarket, individual map markets (Map 1/2/3 winners, kills, rounds) may resolve 50-50 if those maps are never played, creating asymmetric risk. Coordinate your positions carefully: a 2-0 series sweep resolves Kalshi UNDER but may leave Polymarket's Map 3 markets at 50-50.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi uses a single binary metric—total maps played in the series. The market resolves YES if 3 or more maps are played, NO if fewer than 3 are played. No map-level granularity or individual map statistics are considered. Resolution source is not explicitly stated but defaults to official match records.
  • Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers six separate markets covering series outcome, individual map winners (Map 1, Map 2), map-level statistics (kills and rounds for each map), and map handicaps. Each market has its own resolution logic tied to specific map completion and statistical outcomes. Primary source is HLTV.org with a 2-hour fallback window to credible reporting and video evidence.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.