This event group covers a Counter-Strike 2 best-of-three match between Galorys and Keyd in the PGL Bucharest South American Closed Qualifier Playoffs, scheduled for February 27, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. Markets span match winner, individual map winners (Map 1 and Map 2), games total over/under, and map handicap outcomes.
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Kalshi and Polymarket share identical resolution sources (HLTV.org primary, credible consensus secondary), identical edge-case handling (cancellation, delay, forfeit, incomplete maps), and identical treatment of forfeited maps as valid match completion.
Primary resolution logic:
Official HLTV.org reporting; if unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion, credible consensus reporting including video evidence.
Core resolution logic:
Match winner (BO3): resolves to the team winning 2 maps; if match is canceled, ends in tie, or delayed beyond 7 days without play, resolves 50-50.
Map 1 and Map 2 winners: resolve to the team winning that specific map if completed; if map is not completed, resolves 50-50.
Games Total Over/Under 2.5: resolves Over if 3+ maps are played, Under if fewer than 3 maps are played; forfeited/disqualified maps count toward total if match is completed; incomplete match with mid-series forfeit resolves 50-50.
Map Handicap (Galorys -1.5 or Keyd -1.5): resolves to the team winning 2+ more maps than opponent; forfeited/disqualified maps count; incomplete match with mid-series forfeit resolves 50-50.
Match forfeits, disqualifications, or walkovers occurring before match start resolve to 50-50; forfeits occurring during or at clinching map count as completed match and resolve to the winning team.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Incomplete Map Resolution: If Map 1 or Map 2 begins but does not conclude with a winner, that map-specific market resolves 50-50. The series may continue; only the incomplete map triggers 50-50 for its market.
Mid-Series Forfeit: If a team forfeits, is disqualified, or walks away mid-series (after match start), the match is considered completed and resolves to the winning team. Maps won by forfeit count toward series total and handicap calculations.
Pre-Match Forfeit or Walkover: If a team forfeits or walks over before the match begins, all markets resolve 50-50.
Delay Beyond 7 Days: If the match is delayed beyond 7 days from February 27, 2026 without play beginning, all markets resolve 50-50.
Tie or Cancellation: If the match is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, all markets resolve 50-50.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon match completion (all maps concluded or series clinched via forfeit/disqualification). HLTV.org is checked for official results; if not published within 2 hours of match conclusion, credible consensus reporting is used. Markets resolve within 24 hours of match conclusion.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.