TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 17, 8:27 PM EST
Polymarket
This prediction market group concerns a best-of-three Counter-Strike match between Galorys and Elementals in the Circuit X Curitiba Group D. Markets cover the overall match winner, individual map winners, and the total number of maps played.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Galorys and Elementals in the Circuit X Curitiba Group D, initially scheduled for September 17, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Galorys" if Galorys win the match against Elementals. This market will resolve to "Elementals" if Elementals win the match against Galorys. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 1, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 17, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Galorys and Elementals in the Circuit X Curitiba Group D, initially scheduled for September 17, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Galorys" if Galorys win the match against Elementals. This market will resolve to "Elementals" if Elementals win the match against Galorys. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 1, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 17, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price discrepancies between Polymarket and Predict on this market can occur for several reasons. Differences in user base, trading volume, and market-maker activity all contribute to price variations. Polymarket may attract a different class of traders than Predict, leading to varying interpretations of the same event. Additionally, the specific market structures and fee schedules on each platform can influence trading behavior and, consequently, the prices observed. These factors create independent price discovery processes, resulting in differing probabilities for the same outcome in the Counter-Strike Circuit X market.
Several factors could influence this market before the match concludes. News regarding player form, team strategies, or even unexpected roster changes could shift predictions. In-game events during the series itself—such as a dominant performance by one player or a surprising map pick—will undoubtedly cause significant price movement. Public sentiment, reflected in social media and esports communities, can also play a role, particularly if there's a sudden surge in support for one team. Any information impacting the perceived probability of either Galorys or Elementals winning will likely affect trading activity.