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Counter-Strike: FULLPOWER vs FUT Turkuaz (BO3) - TESFED League Playoffs
kalshi
polymarket

Counter-Strike: FULLPOWER vs FUT Turkuaz (BO3) - TESFED League Playoffs

Volume:
$9,917

FUT Turkuaz

 - Kalshi

FUT Turkuaz - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 14, 2026

Closed: Jun 14, 1:29 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

FUT Turkuaz

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,980
N/A
N/A
$2,352
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Match Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,014
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

FULLPOWER

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,624
N/A
N/A
$1,391
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 1 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,812
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$806
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$681
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map Handicap: FUT.T (-1.5) vs FULLPOWER (+1.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Turkuaz (-3.5) vs FULLPOWER (+3.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
10¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
10¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FUT Turkuaz (-3.5) vs FULLPOWER (+3.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
10¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FUT Turkuaz (-3.5) vs FULLPOWER (+3.5)

View
50%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
50%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Turkuaz (-6.5) vs FULLPOWER (+6.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FUT Turkuaz (-6.5) vs FULLPOWER (+6.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
10¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 17

Description

A Counter-Strike Best-of-3 match between FULLPOWER and FUT Turkuaz in the TESFED League Playoffs Lower Bracket Round 1, scheduled for June 14, 2026 at 12:00 PM EDT. Markets cover match winner, individual map winners, map-specific round handicaps, and total rounds played across multiple platforms.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's resolution logic references the TESFED League 2026 championship outcome rather than the specific BO3 match result, making it logically incompatible with the match-level markets on Polymarket. This creates a source fragility and potential unresolvability if league championship timing differs from or is independent of this match.Hero tip: Disregard Kalshi's market for settlement purposes. All reliable resolution data derives from Polymarket's match-specific criteria tied to HLTV.org. Monitor match status: if canceled, delayed beyond 7 days, or resolved via forfeit/walkover without play, Polymarket resolves to 50-50. Kalshi's outcome remains indeterminate without explicit league championship resolution.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Resolves to Yes if FULLPOWER wins the TESFED League 2026 championship OR if FUT Turkuaz wins the TESFED League 2026 championship. This conflates league-level championship outcome with the specific BO3 match result, creating logical incoherence. Quote: 'If FULLPOWER wins the TESFED League 2026... then the market resolves to Yes. If FUT Turkuaz wins the TESFED League 2026... then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Resolves based on actual match performance: Map Handicap (FUT.T -1.5), Games Total (O/U 2.5), individual map winners, round handicaps per map, and total rounds per map. All resolution tied to HLTV.org official results or credible consensus within 2 hours of match conclusion. Quote: 'This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket round 1 match between FULLPOWER and FUT Turkuaz in the TESFED League Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 14 at 12:00PM ET.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket round 1 match between FULLPOWER and FUT Turkuaz in the TESFED League Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 14 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "FULLPOWER" if FULLPOWER win the match against FUT Turkuaz. This market will resolve to "FUT Turkuaz" if FUT Turkuaz win the match against FULLPOWER. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The FUT Turkuaz vs. FULLPOWER CS2 match is scheduled for June 14, 2026 at 12:00 PM EDT as part of the TESFED League 2026. Resolution is determined by the official match outcome: if FUT Turkuaz wins the match, that outcome resolves to Yes; if FULLPOWER wins the match, that outcome resolves to Yes. The match result as recorded by the league organizers and broadcast officials will serve as the authoritative determination.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets operate on a different mechanism than traditional sportsbooks. Rather than a bookmaker setting fixed lines, traders on platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi continuously buy and sell shares, allowing odds to float based on real-time supply and demand. This often produces sharper, more reactive pricing than static sportsbook lines. Prediction market participants include sharp bettors, analysts, and insiders with strong incentives to price accurately. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbooks can reveal value or consensus shifts in how the esports community views the matchup.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and settlement rules. Polymarket and Kalshi may define the outcome slightly differently—for instance, one might focus on the overall series winner while the other tracks individual map results. Trading volume, fee structures, and user geography also influence price discovery. These differences are normal and create arbitrage opportunities for alert traders. Monitoring both platforms helps you understand whether price gaps reflect genuine disagreement or temporary liquidity imbalances.

Key catalysts include roster changes or player substitutions announced by either team, recent performance trends in league play, and head-to-head map history. Injury reports, coaching decisions, or tactical shifts shared in team statements can shift trader sentiment. Map pool updates or meta shifts in Counter-Strike may favor one side. Media coverage and expert analysis often influence market repricing. Watch for official team communications, scrim results leaking to the community, and betting-market activity on other platforms—these signals frequently precede price moves on prediction markets.