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404,028

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MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Counter-Strike: FlyQuest RED vs Sakura Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #2 Playoffs
kalshi
polymarket

Counter-Strike: FlyQuest RED vs Sakura Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #2 Playoffs

Volume:
$357,096

Map 1 Winner

 - Polymarket

Map 1 Winner - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 21, 2026

Closed: Mar 21, 2:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Map 1 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$85,488
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Sakura Esports

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$65,056
N/A
N/A
$32,714
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Match Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$117,102
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$876
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Rounds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$357
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Rounds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$120
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$70
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

FlyQuest RED

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$74,612
N/A
N/A
$42,881
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 2 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,790
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map Handicap: SE (-1.5) vs FlyQuest RED (+1.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$243
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Rounds

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$146
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map Handicap: FLY.R (-1.5) vs Sakura Esports (+1.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$141
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$84
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 14

Description

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket round 1 match between FlyQuest RED and Sakura Esports in the ESL Challenger League North America Cup #2 Playoffs, initially scheduled for March 20 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "FlyQuest RED" if FlyQuest RED win the match against Sakura Esports. This market will resolve to "Sakura Esports" if Sakura Esports win the match against FlyQuest RED. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi and Polymarket resolve on fundamentally different events. Kalshi resolves on the tournament winner (ESL Challenger League North America Cup #2 2026 overall), while Polymarket resolves on specific match outcomes and map-level statistics (FlyQuest RED vs Sakura Esports BO3 match). These are logically incompatible: Kalshi's YES condition requires either team to win the entire tournament, whereas Polymarket's markets require the specific match to be played and completed.Hero tip: Do not cross-hedge Kalshi and Polymarket positions in this group. Kalshi bets on tournament victory; Polymarket bets on match and map outcomes. A team can win the BO3 match but lose the tournament, or vice versa. Verify which event you are actually betting on before committing capital.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Outlier: Resolves YES if either Sakura Esports or FlyQuest RED wins the ESL Challenger League North America Cup #2 2026 tournament overall. The resolution condition is 'If [team] wins the ESL Challenger League North America Cup #2 2026: Sakura Esports vs. FlyQuest RED CS2 match originally scheduled for Mar 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.' This conflates the tournament outcome with the match outcome and creates logical ambiguity: both YES conditions are identical regardless of which team wins, making the market effectively binary on tournament victory rather than match-specific.
  • Polymarket: Distinct stance: Resolves on specific match outcomes (Map 1 Winner, Map 2 Winner, overall Match Winner, BO3 series result) and map-level statistics (Odd/Even Total Rounds per map, Odd/Even Total Kills per map, Games Total O/U 2.5, Map Handicaps). All markets explicitly reference 'the Counter-Strike Upper bracket round 1 match between FlyQuest RED and Sakura Esports' scheduled for March 20 at 10:00PM ET. Resolution sources are HLTV.org with a 2-hour publication window. These markets resolve 50-50 if the match is not played, canceled, delayed beyond 7 days, or forfeited.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.