TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Description
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Fluxo W7M and SAW in the Roman Imperium Cup Group B, initially scheduled for March 28 at 3:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Fluxo W7M" if Fluxo W7M win the match against SAW. This market will resolve to "SAW" if SAW win the match against Fluxo W7M. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket markets resolve based on the outcome of a specific BO1 match (Map 1 rounds/kills), while Kalshi's market resolves based on the tournament winner (Roman Imperium Cup 2026 overall champion). These are fundamentally different events with different scopes and timelines.Hero Tip:
If you trade on Polymarket, you are betting on Map 1 statistics (odd/even rounds or kills) or the immediate match result. If you trade on Kalshi, you are betting on who wins the entire Roman Imperium Cup tournament. A team can win the single match but lose the tournament, or vice versa. Do not assume these markets will resolve to the same outcome.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Distinct stance: Polymarket offers three separate markets—match winner (Fluxo W7M vs SAW), Map 1 odd/even total rounds, and Map 1 odd/even total kills. All three resolve based on the outcome and statistics of the single BO1 match scheduled for March 28, 2026, with official data from hltv.org. As stated: 'This market will resolve to Fluxo W7M if Fluxo W7M win the match against SAW' and 'Total combined rounds is the sum of rounds won by both teams during the match.'Kalshi:
Distinct stance: Kalshi's market resolves YES if either Fluxo W7M or SAW wins the entire Roman Imperium Cup 2026 tournament, not just the single BO1 match. The market states: 'If Fluxo W7M wins the Roman Imperium Cup 2026... then the market resolves to Yes' and 'If SAW wins the Roman Imperium Cup 2026... then the market resolves to Yes.' This is a tournament-level outcome, not a match-level outcome.
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