TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
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TYLOO
all
2 markets
Kalshi
Limitless
consensus
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Jul 1, 2026
Closed: Jul 1, 7:49 AM EST
Kalshi
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: TYLOO (-3.5) vs FaZe (+3.5)
Intro
This market tracks the round differential outcome in a Counter-Strike best-of-one match between FaZe and TYLOO during the XSE Pro League Group Stage. The consensus probability across Limitless, Kalshi, Polymarket, and Predict shows TYLOO covering a -3.5 round handicap at 99.5%, with resolution determined by HLTV.org official match records. Watch for the match scheduled July 1, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET, as forfeit or walkover scenarios may trigger divergent settlement outcomes across platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue: Forfeit and pre-start walkover resolution differs between platforms. Limitless awards the declared winner; Predict and Polymarket resolve to 50-50 if withdrawal occurs before match start. Kalshi omits explicit forfeit guidance.Hero tip: Traders holding positions across platforms face asymmetric payouts in walkover scenarios. If a team withdraws before July 1 3:00 AM ET, lock in Limitless exposure (winner pays) and hedge Predict/Polymarket (50-50 push). Confirm Kalshi's actual settlement protocol with support.Critical divergence points:
- Limitless: Resolves to declared winner in all forfeit, disqualification, or walkover scenarios, regardless of timing. Quote: 'If either team loses by forfeit, disqualification, or walkover for any reason, this market will resolve to the team declared the winner.'
- Predict: Resolves to 50-50 if match is canceled, ends in tie, or delayed beyond 7 days. If match begins but incomplete due to forfeit/disqualification/walkover, resolves to winner. If forfeit/walkover occurs before start, resolves 50-50. Quote: 'If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.'
- Polymarket: Identical to Predict: 50-50 for pre-start forfeit/walkover; winner if match begins and incomplete due to opponent default. Quote: 'If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.'
- Kalshi: Resolves to Yes if either team wins the match. No explicit guidance on forfeit, disqualification, or walkover scenarios. Quote: 'If TYLOO wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If FaZe wins... then the market resolves to Yes.' Ambiguous on non-completion outcomes.
Polymarket
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 1 match between FaZe and TYLOO in the XSE Pro League Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 1 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "FaZe" if FaZe win the match against TYLOO. This market will resolve to "TYLOO" if TYLOO win the match against FaZe. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Kalshi
Resolution is determined by the outcome of the TYLOO vs. FaZe CS2 match in the XSE Pro League 2026, originally scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 3:00 AM EDT. The market resolves to Yes for whichever team wins the match.
Predict
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 1 match between FaZe and TYLOO in the XSE Pro League Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 1 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "FaZe" if FaZe win the match against TYLOO. This market will resolve to "TYLOO" if TYLOO win the match against FaZe. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Limitless
This market refers to the match between FaZe and TYLOO in the XSE Pro League 2026, scheduled for Jul 1, 2026. This market resolves to "YES" if the team named in the title wins in the specified match. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "NO." If either team loses by forfeit, disqualification, or walkover for any reason, this market will resolve to the team declared the winner, regardless of whether the match has started or when the decision is made. If the match is not completed with an official result by August 1, 2026, 23:59 UTC, the market will resolve to "Other."
Frequently asked questions
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and fee structures, which naturally creates price variation. Polymarket and Kalshi may also have different settlement rules, dispute resolution processes, or user bases with varying risk tolerances. Arbitrage opportunities emerge when one platform prices the outcome significantly higher or lower than the other, incentivizing traders to exploit the gap until prices converge. Market depth, trading volume, and the timing of large trades can also cause temporary divergence between venues.
Team roster changes, player injuries, or roster substitutions announced before the match could significantly shift odds. Recent performance in other tournaments, head-to-head records, and map selection (if disclosed) are key catalysts. Betting activity and sharp money flowing into one side often signals insider confidence or updated information. News about team preparation, coaching changes, or competitive form in the days leading up to the event will likely drive repricing. Monitor esports news outlets and team social media for announcements that could influence trader positioning.