TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Counter-Strike: Favbet vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Group Stage
Volume:
$26,994
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Counter-Strike best-of-3 match between Favbet and ex-Zero Tenacity in the CCT Europe Series #17 Group Stage, scheduled for March 4, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. Markets track the overall match winner, individual map winners (Map 1 and Map 2), and the total number of maps played in the series.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi uses a binary event confirmation model (Yes if match produces any winner), while Polymarket uses directional outcome markets with explicit 50-50 tie and cancellation protocols. The markets measure different things despite referencing the same underlying event.Hero Tip:
Kalshi's Yes resolution requires only that the match is played and produces a winner (either team). Polymarket's markets require specific winner identification and apply 50-50 resolution for cancellations, ties, delays beyond 7 days without completion, or pre-match forfeits. These are not equivalent hedges. Confirm match completion and winner determination independently via HLTV before relying on either platform's settlement.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Binary event confirmation model. Resolves to Yes if either Favbet or ex-Zero Tenacity wins the match. Does not distinguish between outcomes or explicitly address ties, cancellations, or delays. Key Quote: 'If Favbet wins the CCT Europe Series #17 2026: ex-Zero Tenacity vs. Favbet CS2 match... then the market resolves to Yes. If ex-Zero Tenacity wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Directional outcome markets with granular edge-case handling. Resolves to specific team name (Favbet or ex-Zero Tenacity) if that team wins. Resolves to 50-50 for cancellations, ties, delays beyond 7 days without completion, or pre-match forfeits. Completed maps count toward totals even if won by forfeit/disqualification, provided match is completed. Key Quote: 'If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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