TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$216,099,358
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,189,677,720
500,754
Markets across
13,672
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,801
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - PGL Bucharest: European Closed Qualifier Playoffs
Volume:
$114,288
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Counter-Strike Best-of-3 match between EYEBALLERS and MOUZ NXT scheduled for February 26, 2026 at the PGL Bucharest European Closed Qualifier Playoffs. Markets span match winner, individual map winners, map handicaps, and total games played, with resolution sourced from HLTV.org.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical tautology: both possible outcomes (MOUZ NXT wins OR EYEBALLERS wins) resolve to Yes, making the market non-binary and unresolvable. Polymarket markets are logically sound with mutually exclusive outcomes.Hero Tip:
Disregard Kalshi market entirely due to structural failure. Trade only Polymarket markets. Always cross-reference final results with HLTV.org; if HLTV has not published within 2 hours of match conclusion, use consensus of credible reporting and video evidence.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Market states: If MOUZ NXT wins the match, resolve Yes. If EYEBALLERS wins the match, resolve Yes. This creates a guaranteed Yes outcome regardless of match result, violating binary market logic. Quote: 'If MOUZ NXT wins...then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If EYEBALLERS wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Six separate markets with mutually exclusive binary outcomes: Match Winner (EYEBALLERS vs MOUZ NXT), Map 1 Winner, Map 2 Winner, Map Handicap EYE (-1.5) vs MOUZ NXT (+1.5), Map Handicap MOUZ.N (-1.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+1.5), and Games Total Over/Under 2.5. All use consistent edge-case handling: cancellation/tie/7-day delay = 50-50; match begins but incomplete with forfeit/disqualification/walkover = 50-50; clinching map forfeited = counts as completed match.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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