TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$217,487,446
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,300,303,450
498,643
Markets across
13,761
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,763
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Metizport (BO3) - Journey Playoffs
Description
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 4 match between EYEBALLERS and Metizport in the Journey Playoffs, initially scheduled for March 27 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "EYEBALLERS" if EYEBALLERS win the match against Metizport. This market will resolve to "Metizport" if Metizport win the match against EYEBALLERS. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution rules are logically incomplete and fail to specify an outcome for either team winning, creating ambiguity about what triggers a YES resolution. Polymarket provides comprehensive resolution logic covering all scenarios (match winner, cancellation, forfeit, tie-breaking) with clear outcomes for each case.Hero Tip:
If you trade on Kalshi, be aware that the market terms do not clearly specify which outcome (Metizport win or EYEBALLERS win) resolves to YES — both conditions state the market 'resolves to Yes' identically. On Polymarket, the resolution is unambiguous: the market resolves to the actual match winner's name. Verify with Kalshi support before placing trades, as this ambiguity could delay or complicate settlement.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's main market states 'If Metizport wins... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If EYEBALLERS wins... then the market resolves to Yes,' creating logical ambiguity where both outcomes map to the same resolution. No specification of what resolves to NO or how to handle cancellations, forfeits, or delays.
- Polymarket: Aligned with comprehensive resolution framework: Polymarket specifies that the market resolves to the name of the winning team ('EYEBALLERS' or 'Metizport'), with explicit handling for cancellations (50-50), ties (50-50), delays beyond 7 days (50-50), forfeits before match start (50-50), and forfeits/disqualifications during play (winning team wins). Primary source is HLTV.org with 2-hour fallback to credible reporting.
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