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Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Subtop De France (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group A
kalshi
polymarket

Who will win ex-MANA eSports vs Subtop De France?

Volume:
$233,242

ex-MANA eSports

 - Kalshi

ex-MANA eSports - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 28, 2026

Closed: Jun 28, 9:09 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

ex-MANA eSports

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$30,653
N/A
N/A
$19,172
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Match Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$101,661
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$6,512
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,517
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Winner

View
50%
Yes 50¢No 51¢
1¢
N/A
$64,476
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Subtop De France

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$21,227
N/A
N/A
$13,166
Settled
No
polymarket

Map Handicap: ex-MANA (-1.5) vs Subtop De France (+1.5)

View
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$3,197
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: ex-MANA eSports (-3.5) vs Subtop De France (+3.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: ex-MANA eSports (-3.5) vs Subtop De France (+3.5)

View
50%
Yes 51¢No 51¢
2¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
51¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 3 Rounds Handicap: ex-MANA eSports (-3.5) vs Subtop De France (+3.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
20¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
0%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: ex-MANA eSports (-6.5) vs Subtop De France (+6.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5

View
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: ex-MANA eSports (-9.5) vs Subtop De France (+9.5)

View
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Rounds Handicap: ex-MANA eSports (-6.5) vs Subtop De France (+6.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
20¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Rounds Handicap: ex-MANA eSports (-9.5) vs Subtop De France (+9.5)

View
20%
Yes 20¢No 80¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5

View
0%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5

View
0%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 21

Description

This event group covers a Counter-Strike Best-of-3 match between ex-MANA eSports and Subtop De France in the European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group A, scheduled for June 28, 2026 at 6:30 AM EDT. Markets span match winner, individual map winners, round totals, and round handicaps across Polymarket and Kalshi platforms.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's market resolves to Yes for either team outcome (tournament qualifier logic), while Polymarket markets resolve to specific team names or performance metrics (match outcome logic). These are fundamentally different settlement scopes.Hero tip: Kalshi's market is a tournament participation/completion indicator, not a team predictor. Polymarket's markets are granular match outcome predictors. Treat them as separate event classes. For Polymarket markets, always confirm official HLTV reporting within 2 hours of match conclusion; if unavailable, credible consensus reporting and video evidence are acceptable fallbacks.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Binary Yes/Yes resolution structure. Resolves to Yes if either Subtop De France or ex-MANA eSports wins the match. This is a tournament qualifier confirmation market, not a team outcome predictor. Quote: 'If Subtop De France wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If ex-MANA eSports wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Team-specific and performance-metric resolution. Match winner resolves to team name (ex-MANA eSports or Subtop De France). Map winners, round totals, and handicaps resolve based on specific in-match performance. Quote: 'This market will resolve to "ex-MANA eSports" if ex-MANA eSports win the match against Subtop De France. This market will resolve to "Subtop De France" if Subtop De France win the match.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Winners match between ex-MANA eSports and Subtop De France in the European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group A, initially scheduled for June 28 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "ex-MANA eSports" if ex-MANA eSports win the match against Subtop De France. This market will resolve to "Subtop De France" if Subtop De France win the match against ex-MANA eSports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

This event covers the CS2 match between Subtop De France and ex-MANA eSports scheduled for June 28, 2026 at 6:30 AM EDT in the European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier. The match outcome determines progression in the qualifier bracket, with the winning team advancing further in the tournament.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket operate on peer-to-peer trading rather than fixed-odds bookmaker models. Instead of a sportsbook setting margins, traders themselves determine prices through continuous order books, often reflecting sharper, less-padded odds. This market's pricing suggests strong conviction around ex-MANA's chances, though traditional sportsbooks may quote different lines based on their own risk management and customer base. Comparing both sources helps identify value and understand where professional consensus aligns or diverges from mainstream betting markets.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and fee structures, which naturally produces price variations. Kalshi's binary yes-no format on match outcomes may appeal to directional traders, while Polymarket's granular map-winner markets attract those seeking specific prop exposure. Latency in arbitrage, regional user preferences, and distinct settlement rule interpretations can widen spreads. Monitoring both venues reveals where informed traders see opportunity and helps you identify mispricing before the event resolves.

Team roster changes, player substitutions, or last-minute lineup announcements can shift odds significantly. Recent form, head-to-head records, and map pool preferences often drive repricing as the match approaches. Injury reports or stand-in confirmations may trigger volatility, especially if key players are unavailable. Community sentiment, coaching adjustments, and pre-match interviews can also influence trader positioning. Monitor esports news outlets and team social channels for updates that might reveal new information before the European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group A match begins.