TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
ENCE Academy and QUAZAR will compete in a best-of-three Counter-Strike 2 match during the ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Playoffs Upper Bracket Round 3, scheduled for April 1, 2026 at 1:00 PM EDT. The event group encompasses markets covering the overall match winner, individual map winners, map-level statistics (kills and rounds), series length, and handicap outcomes.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket resolve fundamentally different events. Kalshi markets resolve on the tournament winner (ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 2026 overall), while Polymarket markets resolve on specific map outcomes and match results from the BO3 series. These are logically incompatible: Kalshi's binary YES/YES structure (both outcomes resolve YES) is a data integrity failure, while Polymarket's markets depend on match completion and map-level granularity.Hero Tip:
Do not trade across these platforms expecting consistent outcomes. Kalshi's markets are unresolvable as written (both ENCE Academy winning and QUAZAR winning the tournament cannot both resolve YES). Polymarket's markets are resolvable but depend on match play and map completion. Treat these as separate event groups entirely.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Outlier: Both markets resolve YES regardless of match outcome. Market 1 states 'If ENCE Academy wins the ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 2026... then the market resolves to Yes' AND Market 2 states 'If QUAZAR wins the ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 2026... then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical contradiction where the market cannot distinguish between outcomes and both resolve identically. This is a critical data integrity failure.Polymarket:
Distinct stance: Resolves on specific match and map outcomes within the BO3 series (Map 1 winner, Map 2 winner, Map 3 winner, total kills/rounds per map, series winner, games total, map handicaps). Each market has clear binary or categorical outcomes tied to match play, with detailed contingencies for cancellation, forfeiture, and incomplete maps. Resolution source is HLTV.org with 2-hour fallback to credible reporting.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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