TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs Fortress (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group C
polymarket
kalshi

Who will win Donstu Esports vs Fortress?

Volume:
$282,729

Map 2 Winner

 - Polymarket

Map 2 Winner - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 30, 2026

Closed: Jun 30, 10:10 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Map 2 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$77,781
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Match Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$70,378
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Donstu Esports

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$30,505
N/A
N/A
$24,406
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$268
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$45,571
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Fortress

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$45,017
N/A
N/A
$31,575
Settled
No
polymarket

Map Handicap: DNT (-1.5) vs Fortress (+1.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,164
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fortress (-9.5) vs Donstu Esports (+9.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fortress (-12.5) vs Donstu Esports (+12.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Donstu Esports (-3.5) vs Fortress (+3.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Donstu Esports (-3.5) vs Fortress (+3.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Donstu Esports (-3.5) vs Fortress (+3.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Donstu Esports (-6.5) vs Fortress (+6.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fortress (-3.5) vs Donstu Esports (+3.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map Handicap: FOR (-1.5) vs Donstu Esports (+1.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fortress (-6.5) vs Donstu Esports (+6.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.5¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Donstu Esports (-9.5) vs Fortress (+9.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.5¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 30

Description

This event group covers a Counter-Strike: Global Offensive best-of-three (BO3) elimination match between Donstu Esports and Fortress in the European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group C, scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. Markets span individual map winners, map round totals, series outcome, map handicap, and overall match winner across Polymarket and Kalshi platforms.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market is logically incoherent: both possible outcomes (Fortress win and Donstu Esports win) resolve to 'Yes', leaving no 'No' resolution state. This violates binary market structure and makes the market fundamentally unresolvable as defined.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi market as written. The market definition is broken and will resolve to 'Yes' regardless of match outcome. Polymarket offers coherent, detailed resolution rules with proper edge-case handling. Use Polymarket markets exclusively for this event.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Defines seven distinct markets with granular resolution logic: Map 1/2/3 winners, Map 1/2/3 round totals (O/U 21.5), series winner (BO3), games total (O/U 2.5), and map handicap (-1.5/+1.5). Explicitly handles forfeits, walkovers, disqualifications, incomplete play, and 7-day cancellation threshold. All markets resolve to 50-50 if match is not completed or canceled. Key Quote: 'If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.'
  • Kalshi: Single binary market with contradictory resolution logic: 'If Fortress wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Donstu Esports wins... then the market resolves to Yes.' No 'No' outcome is defined. This creates a logical impossibility where both mutually exclusive outcomes map to the same resolution state. Key Quote: 'If Fortress wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Donstu Esports wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Elimination match between Donstu Esports and Fortress in the European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group C, initially scheduled for June 30 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Donstu Esports" if Donstu Esports win the match against Fortress. This market will resolve to "Fortress" if Fortress win the match against Donstu Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

This event covers the CS2 match between Fortress and Donstu Esports in the European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 4:00 AM EDT. The resolution is determined by the outcome of this single match, with each team's victory condition clearly defined. The market resolves based on which team emerges victorious from the match.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price risk differently. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract a margin, while prediction markets rely on continuous trader participation to discover consensus probability. This market's odds reflect what thousands of independent traders believe will happen, often incorporating real-time team news, roster changes, and recent performance data faster than sportsbooks adjust their lines. Comparing this market's implied probability to major sportsbook spreads can reveal value opportunities, though prediction market liquidity and sportsbook depth vary by region and platform availability.

Polymarket and Kalshi operate under different regulatory frameworks, fee structures, and user demographics, which naturally produces pricing variation. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform's order book depth, minimum trade sizes, and withdrawal policies influence how quickly new information gets priced in. Additionally, the two platforms attract different trader profiles—some specialized in esports, others in general prediction markets—leading to temporary arbitrage opportunities. These gaps typically narrow as informed traders exploit mispricings, but structural differences mean perfect alignment is rare.

Key catalysts include roster announcements or player substitutions, recent head-to-head results, and performance trends in qualifying rounds leading up to this match. Injury reports, coaching changes, or public statements from team management can shift trader sentiment rapidly. Map pool updates or meta shifts in Counter-Strike 2 may favor one team's playstyle, triggering repricing. Media coverage, betting syndicate activity, and social sentiment from esports communities also influence odds. Traders monitoring team scrims, practice footage, and analyst commentary often spot directional moves before they fully reflect in market prices.