TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a best-of-three (BO3) Counter-Strike 2 match between DashSkins and Keyd in the PGL Astana South American Closed Qualifier Playoffs, originally scheduled for March 31, 2026. The markets resolve based on which team wins the match, determining qualification or advancement in the tournament bracket.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket use fundamentally incompatible resolution scopes. Kalshi resolves on match outcome (either team winning resolves YES), making the market logically contradictory and unresolvable. Polymarket provides granular, resolvable markets on specific match outcomes and map-level statistics.Hero Tip:
Avoid Kalshi's match outcome market entirely—it resolves YES regardless of who wins, rendering it meaningless. Trade only Polymarket's markets, which offer clear, distinct outcomes (Map 1/2/3 winners, series winner, handicaps, round/kill totals). If you hold Kalshi positions, seek clarification or withdrawal before settlement.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Outlier: Kalshi's match outcome market (questions 1–2) states 'If DashSkins wins... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Keyd wins... then the market resolves to Yes,' creating a logical contradiction where both outcomes resolve YES. This makes the market unresolvable and fundamentally broken. Kalshi provides no granular map-level markets.Polymarket:
Aligned with sound resolution logic: Polymarket offers 10 distinct, resolvable markets covering match winner, individual map winners (Map 1, Map 2), series length (O/U 2.5 maps), handicaps (both directions), and map-level statistics (odd/even rounds and kills per map). Each market has mutually exclusive outcomes and clear resolution criteria tied to HLTV.org as primary source with 2-hour fallback to credible reporting.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Related events
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.15.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.