TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Counter-Strike: Global Offensive best-of-one match between CYBERSHOKE Esports and SAW in the Roman Imperium Cup Group B, scheduled for March 28, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. Markets track the match winner, Map 1 kill parity, and Map 1 round parity, with resolution sourced primarily from HLTV.org.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Scope ambiguity: Polymarket explicitly resolves on the BO1 match result and Map 1 statistics, while Kalshi's reference to 'Roman Imperium Cup 2026' winner creates uncertainty about whether resolution is match-level or tournament-level. The two platforms may be measuring different events.Hero Tip:
Before settlement, confirm with Kalshi whether their market resolves on the SAW vs CYBERSHOKE match winner or on the overall Roman Imperium Cup 2026 tournament champion. If Kalshi resolves on tournament outcome, it cannot be reconciled with Polymarket's match-level markets. If both resolve on match outcome, Kalshi's wording should be amended to clarify.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Resolves on the BO1 match outcome between CYBERSHOKE Esports and SAW. Winner is the team that wins the match; 50-50 if canceled, tied, delayed >7 days without result, or forfeited before start. Map 1 markets (kills/rounds) resolve 50-50 if Map 1 never plays. Source: HLTV.org, or credible consensus within 2 hours of match conclusion. Key Quote: 'This market will resolve to CYBERSHOKE Esports if CYBERSHOKE Esports win the match against SAW.'Kalshi:
References 'Roman Imperium Cup 2026: SAW vs. CYBERSHOKE Esports CS2 match' but resolves Yes if either team wins the Cup, not the match. Conflates match-level event with tournament-level outcome. Key Quote: 'If SAW wins the Roman Imperium Cup 2026... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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