TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$230,557,910
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,202,344,730
501,342
Markets across
13,602
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,822
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs Sinners (BO1) - Conquest of Prague Online Stage Group Stage
Volume:
$12,518
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Counter-Strike 2 best-of-one match between Clutchain and Sinners scheduled for April 15, 2026 at 11:00 AM EDT as part of the Conquest of Prague Online Stage Group Stage. Markets track the match winner and Map 1 statistics (odd/even total rounds and total kills).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's match winner market contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Sinners wins or Clutchain wins) resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket provides coherent binary resolution with explicit edge-case handling.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi's match winner market until the definition is corrected. Use Polymarket's framework as the de facto standard: Clutchain resolves to Clutchain, Sinners resolves to Sinners, and 50-50 applies to cancellations, ties, 7+ day delays, or pre-match forfeits. For Map 1 odd/even markets, both platforms are aligned and safe to trade.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Match winner market states both "If Sinners wins...resolves to Yes" and "If Clutchain wins...resolves to Yes", creating a logical impossibility. No explicit guidance on forfeits, ties, or cancellations. Market is unresolvable as written.
- Polymarket: Match winner resolves to team name (Clutchain or Sinners) if that team wins. Resolves to 50-50 for cancellations, ties, delays beyond 7 days without winner, or pre-match forfeits/walkovers. Resolves to winning team if match begins but opponent forfeits mid-match. Clear, coherent binary logic with comprehensive edge-case coverage.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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