TOTAL VOLUME:

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24H VOL:

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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

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MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Counter-Strike: Club 333 vs Festina Lente (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs
kalshi
polymarket

Counter-Strike: Club 333 vs Festina Lente (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs

Volume:
$103,623

Festina Lente

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 12, 2026

Closed: Jun 11, 11:29 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Festina Lente

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$39,682
N/A
N/A
$24,491
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Match Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20,159
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Club 333

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$43,506
N/A
N/A
$27,721
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 1 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$154
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$112
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a Counter-Strike: Global Offensive best-of-three match between Club 333 and Festina Lente in the NSTLGA League Playoffs Upper Bracket Quarterfinal 4, scheduled for June 11, 2026 at 9:00 PM EDT. Markets track the overall match winner, individual map winners (Map 1 and Map 2), and total maps played in the series.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi markets measure league championship outcomes (either team winning NSTLGA League 2026), while Polymarket markets measure the specific June 11 match result and map performance. The settlement events are entirely different, making these markets incomparable and creating a critical scope mismatch.Hero tip: Do not assume Kalshi and Polymarket positions hedge each other. Kalshi markets will resolve Yes if either team wins the league (near-certain outcome). Polymarket markets resolve based on the specific match on June 11. Treat them as separate exposure vectors: Kalshi = league-winner bet, Polymarket = match-specific bet.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Both markets (Festina Lente wins league, Club 333 wins league) resolve to Yes if the respective team wins the NSTLGA League 2026. The June 11 match is mentioned only as context (original scheduled date). Settlement is league-level, not match-level. Key quote: 'If Festina Lente wins the NSTLGA League 2026... then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Four distinct markets resolve based on the actual June 11 match outcome: overall match winner (Club 333 vs Festina Lente), Map 1 winner, Map 2 winner, and total maps played (Over/Under 2.5). Settlement is match-specific and map-specific. Key quote: 'This market will resolve to Club 333 if Club 333 win the match against Festina Lente.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket quarterfinal 4 match between Club 333 and Festina Lente in the NSTLGA League Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 11 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Club 333" if Club 333 win the match against Festina Lente. This market will resolve to "Festina Lente" if Festina Lente win the match against Club 333. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

If Festina Lente wins the NSTLGA League 2026: Festina Lente vs. Club 333 CS2 match originally scheduled for Jun 11, 2026 at 9:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Club 333 wins the NSTLGA League 2026: Festina Lente vs. Club 333 CS2 match originally scheduled for Jun 11, 2026 at 9:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi typically reflect sharper, more liquid pricing than traditional sportsbooks because traders can enter and exit positions continuously until resolution. Sportsbooks set fixed odds and manage liability; prediction markets aggregate real-time belief through order books. For this Club 333 vs Festina Lente playoff series, prediction market odds may move faster in response to roster changes, recent form, or map pool shifts. Sportsbook odds often lag behind or apply wider margins. Comparing Polymarket's match-winner contract against major sportsbooks reveals whether the market consensus differs on Festina Lente's chances, offering bettors insight into potential value.

Key catalysts include roster announcements or player substitutions for either team, recent tournament results and map win rates, and map pool selections revealed before the series. Injury or availability updates for star players on Club 333 or Festina Lente can shift odds significantly. Practice scrim results or leaked demos may influence trader sentiment. Head-to-head historical performance and recent form trends in the NSTLGA League will drive repricing. Odds may also react to betting volume spikes, sharp money movement, or public perception shifts as the match date approaches. Monitor esports news outlets and official league updates for announcements that could impact series probability.