TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 4, 7:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether the total number of kills across Map 1 of the Counter-Strike match between cirahvi and SINQU will be odd or even, with the leading outcome currently at 100.0% on Polymarket. Resolution will be determined by official match data from HLTV.org. Watch for the match scheduled on May 4, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET to see how the kill distribution unfolds across the opening map of this Elisa Open Suomi Regular Season Round 3 contest.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 3 match between cirahvi and SINQU in the Elisa Open Suomi Regular Season, initially scheduled for May 4 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "cirahvi" if cirahvi win the match against SINQU. This market will resolve to "SINQU" if SINQU win the match against cirahvi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket often diverge from traditional sportsbook pricing due to different liquidity pools, trader composition, and real-time adjustment mechanisms. Sportsbooks typically apply fixed margins and adjust lines based on liability management, while prediction markets reflect decentralized participant consensus. For this cirahvi versus SINQU match, comparing Polymarket probabilities to major esports sportsbooks reveals whether the market is pricing cirahvi or SINQU more favorably than conventional bookmakers. Traders use these discrepancies to identify value opportunities before the best-of-three begins.
The market resolves on May 4, 2026 following the completion of the best-of-three match between cirahvi and SINQU in the Elisa Open Suomi Regular Season. Resolution is determined by the official match result, including all maps played and final round outcomes. Once the match concludes and the winner is confirmed, the prediction market contract settles automatically based on whether cirahvi or SINQU achieved the required map wins. Traders holding positions receive payouts proportional to their contract holdings.
Key catalysts include roster announcements or player substitutions for either team, recent tournament results or scrim leaks, map pool announcements, and injury or availability updates. Betting activity itself can shift odds as large positions accumulate on one side. Community sentiment, analyst predictions, and social media discussion of team form also influence trader behavior. Closer to match day, warm-up match results and official team statements about preparation and strategy may trigger significant repricing. Any unexpected roster changes or scheduling delays could also impact market dynamics before the best-of-three commences.