TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs Eternal Fire Academy (BO3) - TESFED League Playoffs
kalshi
polymarket

Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs Eternal Fire Academy (BO3) - TESFED League Playoffs

Volume:
$5,595

Match Winner

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 15, 2026

Closed: Jun 14, 7:40 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Match Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,582
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Bushido Wildcats

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,085
N/A
N/A
$1,015
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Winner

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$294
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Winner

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$53
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Eternal Fire Academy

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,581
N/A
N/A
$1,437
Settled
No
polymarket

Map Handicap: BW (-1.5) vs Eternal Fire Academy (+1.5)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Bushido Wildcats (-6.5) vs Eternal Fire Academy (+6.5)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
20¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Bushido Wildcats (-6.5) vs Eternal Fire Academy (+6.5)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
20¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Bushido Wildcats (-6.5) vs Eternal Fire Academy (+6.5)

50%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5

50%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Bushido Wildcats (-9.5) vs Eternal Fire Academy (+9.5)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
20¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Bushido Wildcats (-9.5) vs Eternal Fire Academy (+9.5)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 17

Description

This event group comprises 10 interconnected prediction markets covering a Counter-Strike BO3 match between Bushido Wildcats and Eternal Fire Academy in the TESFED League Playoffs Lower Bracket Round 1, scheduled for June 14, 2026 at 1:30 PM EDT. Markets span match winner, map winners, round handicaps, round totals, and map count, all dependent on the same underlying match outcome.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction (both team outcomes resolve to Yes) and references league-wide championship outcomes rather than the specific BO3 match. Polymarket correctly structures resolution around the actual match and its component maps.Hero tip: Treat Kalshi's markets as unresolvable due to internal logical failure. All 10 markets should follow Polymarket's coherent framework: resolve based on actual match play (maps won, rounds scored) documented on HLTV.org within 2 hours of conclusion. If match is canceled, delayed beyond 7 days without completion, or decided by forfeit/walkover before play begins, resolve 50-50. If play begins and one map completes, that map's result stands regardless of later forfeit.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: References 'TESFED League 2026' championship outcome with binary Yes resolution for both possible team winners. Logical contradiction: 'If Bushido Wildcats wins... resolves to Yes. If Eternal Fire Academy wins... resolves to Yes.' Cannot resolve to Yes for both mutually exclusive outcomes. Does not specify match-level resolution criteria.
  • Polymarket: Provides 10 distinct, logically coherent markets tied to specific match outcomes: match winner (binary team selection), map 1/2/3 winners (binary team selection), map round handicaps (Bushido -6.5 vs +6.5), map round totals (Over/Under 18.5), and series map count (Over/Under 2.5). Each market has explicit tie-breaking, cancellation, and forfeit rules. Resolution source: HLTV.org with 2-hour fallback to credible reporting.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket round 1 match between Bushido Wildcats and Eternal Fire Academy in the TESFED League Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 14 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Bushido Wildcats" if Bushido Wildcats win the match against Eternal Fire Academy. This market will resolve to "Eternal Fire Academy" if Eternal Fire Academy win the match against Bushido Wildcats. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The TESFED League 2026 CS2 match between Eternal Fire Academy and Bushido Wildcats is scheduled for June 14, 2026 at 1:30 PM EDT. Resolution is determined by the official match outcome: if Eternal Fire Academy wins, their associated market resolves affirmatively; if Bushido Wildcats wins, their associated market resolves affirmatively. The match result is based on the official TESFED League 2026 competition records and standings.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like those tracked here operate on peer-to-peer pricing rather than traditional sportsbook margins. Traders directly set odds by buying and selling shares, which often reflects real-time sentiment more dynamically than fixed sportsbook lines. Prediction markets typically charge lower fees and allow deeper liquidity on niche events like TESFED League playoffs. However, sportsbooks may offer tighter spreads on mainstream matchups and faster payouts. For esports, prediction markets often capture sharper, community-driven consensus since traders have direct financial incentive to price outcomes accurately.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Kalshi and Polymarket serve different trader bases and operate under distinct regulatory frameworks, which can lead to price divergence. Kalshi's moneyline contract on match outcome attracts directional bettors, while Polymarket's prop focus on map rounds appeals to players seeking granular tactical exposure. Liquidity depth, fee structures, and user geography also vary between platforms. Additionally, one platform may have faster information flow or different settlement timelines, causing temporary arbitrage opportunities. Comparing both venues helps you identify which pricing better reflects true consensus.

Key catalysts include roster changes, recent map bans, and head-to-head performance trends in the TESFED League playoffs. Injury reports or player substitutions announced before match day can shift odds significantly. Live in-game events—such as an early map loss or dominant first-half performance—will trigger sharp repricing on prop markets tracking round totals. Media coverage, expert predictions, and community sentiment on social platforms also influence trader positioning. Monitor team practice results and any official statements about preparation or tactical adjustments, as these often precede notable market moves.