TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Tricked (BO1) - BC Game Masters Championship Group B
Description
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between BESTIA and Tricked in the BC Game Masters Championship Group B, initially scheduled for March 24 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "BESTIA" if BESTIA win the match against Tricked. This market will resolve to "Tricked" if Tricked win the match against BESTIA. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket settles on the outcome of a specific BO1 match (BESTIA vs Tricked) with detailed map-level resolution rules, while Kalshi settles on the outcome of an entire tournament (BC Game Masters Championship 2026) with a binary yes/no structure. These are fundamentally different events with different scopes and resolution criteria.Hero Tip:
If you bet on Polymarket, you are betting on the specific March 24 match result and map statistics. If you bet on Kalshi, you are betting on whether either team wins the entire championship tournament. A team can lose the specific match but still win the tournament, or win the match but lose the tournament. Your outcomes will diverge unless the match result perfectly predicts the tournament outcome.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Outlier: Polymarket resolves on the outcome of a single BO1 match between BESTIA and Tricked scheduled for March 24, 2026, plus two derivative markets on map-level statistics (odd/even kills and odd/even rounds). Resolution is based on official HLTV.org data for the specific match only, with 50-50 fallback if the match is canceled, forfeited, or delayed beyond 7 days. Key quote: 'This market will resolve to BESTIA if BESTIA win the match against Tricked' and 'The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org.'
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi resolves on whether BESTIA or Tricked wins the entire BC Game Masters Championship 2026 tournament, not the individual match. The market resolves YES if either team wins the championship, regardless of the outcome of the March 24 match. Key quote: 'If BESTIA wins the BC Game Masters Championship 2026: Tricked vs. BESTIA CS2 match originally scheduled for Mar 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tricked wins the BC Game Masters Championship 2026: Tricked vs. BESTIA CS2 match originally scheduled for Mar 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
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